HOUSE BILL NO. 57 An Act amending the manner of determining the royalty received by the state on gas production as it relates to the manufacture of certain value-added products. REPRESENTATIVE MIKE CHENAULT MOVED to ADOPT work draft #23- LS0303\S, Chenoweth, 3/12/03, as the version of the bill before the Committee. Representative Croft OBJECTED in order to hear the changes made to the previous bill. Representative Chenault explained that changes had been made to address concerns regarding a windfall/profit made for the gas contract between the Agrium facility and Unocal. Language was added to guarantee that the legislation would not apply to Unocal. Representative Croft noted that he would WITHDRAW his OBJECTION to passage of the committee substitute. There being NO further OBJECTION, the work draft was adopted. Co-Chair Williams interjected that it was not his intent to move the bill out of Committee at this time. He referenced the draft fiscal note. Representative Chenault stated that HB 57 would allow the manufacturers and producers to know the basis upon which royalty would be calculated before entering into a contract. He believed it would help the acceleration of business for oil and gas production companies. The companies currently can be subject to audits as much as five years after the sales have been completed. Adoption of the proposal could promote development and would provide producers with the knowledge that they would not have to pay additional royalties at some point in the future. With a fixed royalty rate, it would benefit the State of Alaska and its residents by providing local manufacturing industries with a solid foundation providing stable jobs, increased sales and a greater investment in the local communities. MIKE NUGENT, GENERAL MANAGER, AGRIUM KENAI NITROGEN OPERATIONS, KENAI, spoke in favor of HB 57. He stated that the legislation was a "piece of the pie", which would provide producers in Cook Inlet with stability and Agrium with certainty of what the costs are to manufacturer the products. He stated natural gas is the major raw material used by Agruim. Mr. Nugent continued, Agrium's Kenai Nitrogen Operations is one of Alaska's few major value added manufacturing operations. The Kenai plant is the second largest producer of nitrogen products in the United States. From Kenai, 6% of the total nitrogen products in North America is manufactured. The majority of the product is exported to the Pacific Rim countries including Korea, Taiwan, Mexico, Thailand, and Australia. He added that Kenai has been competitive in the world markets because of its location and the skilled workforce and stable government. Mr. Nugent listed the countries that compete with Kenai to sell fertilized products: Russia, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, and Venezuela; however, none have the same attributes, in particular a stable government but they do have extremely low natural gas prices. That situation puts Kenai at a disadvantage in marketing their product. The disadvantage is partly due to provisions in State contracts, which require the State of Alaska to receive the highest prevailing price for the State's royalty gas. HB 57 could help in that it would allow the Department of Environmental Conservation's Commissioner to accept a price paid to the State for gas, a price negotiated between Agrium and the producer. He noted that over the past few weeks, there have been questions regarding the fiscal impact of the bill. He offered the following comments: · The Department of Natural Resources has supplied a fiscal note. It does not consider the other economic impacts such as wages, purchases of goods and services, taxes, and new developments, to the State of Alaska. It only considers the impact of natural gas value. · The analysis is based on forecasts and the forecasts involve several variables such as volume, price, and ownership, all of which are difficult to predict. The analysis also assumes full capacity operations or consumption of maximum volumes of natural gas. · As opposed to forecasting the future, the reality is that Agrium's Kenai operation is currently curtailed due to the inability of suppliers to deliver adequate natural gas supplies. The plant is operating on average at 75% capacity making a revenue reduction to the State, Agrium, and the local economies, regardless of which price forecast is used. · Unless the State can find a producer who can provide a large quantity of natural gas at a competitive price in the future, the curtailment will last for several years and/or could result in a shutdown. Agrium has had repeated discussions with the producers in Cook Inlet. The concern is the additional royalties that the producer is currently subject to. · The development of new natural gas reserves is more difficult because of the risk of unknown State royalty gas values. The risk is associated with the value or price being set by others in a process not participated in. · If the State is not successful in developing additional competitive gas reserves, Agrium will not survive as a business. As a result, revenues to the State from royalty gas sales could be zero. · Natural gas has a different value to different consumers. One price does not fit all. Co-Chair Harris inquired how many employees did Agruim have and what was their average salary. Mr. Nugent replied that there were approximately 292 full time employees with an average salary of $84,000 dollars a year. If the legislation does not passed, the organization would not be able to operate at capacity, raising the unit cost of the product. If there are no additional reserves, then Agrium cannot help other producers in the Cook Inlet area develop their resources. He emphasized that Agrium could go out of business without the requested reserves. He stated that HB 57 would help to reduce the risk that producers see as they go to develop natural gas reserves in Cook Inlet. Co-Chair Harris inquired how much can the State expect to receive from gas royalties versus Agrium would going out of business. The fiscal note assumes that the State should receive a certain royalty; however, if the gas is not sold, the State will loose much more revenue. He understood that the fiscal note indicates that by FY 2009, the State might loose up to $4.5 million dollars in revenue. He asked how much gas that would represent. Mr. Nugent replied that the gas stream would be approximately 34.4 billion cubic feet a year. Co-Chair Harris inquired the amount of revenue that Agrium provides the Kenai Peninsula Borough. He stated that the Committee was looking at benefits for a specific area versus the benefits to the entire State. Mr. Nugent responded that taking the total economic value of the facility's impact on the economy, dividing it by the billions of cubic feet of gas equals the economic impact at approximately $6.28 dollars per cubic foot, which is higher than what is paid for the gas. ERIC MCDOWELL, PARTNER-McDOWELL GROUP, RESOURCE SOLUTIONS, JUNEAU, commented that his company had analyzed many entities across the State, noting that the situation is unique in regard to value added and overall benefits. He added that there are varying numbers regarding how this would affect the Kenai economy. Mr. McDowell referenced the fiscal note, pointing out that the State would be gaining approximately $6-$7 million dollars a year over a seven year period. Additionally, it would be a good investment of the State's resources to have the use of policy force stability and resources to enhance the economy, keeping the costs private rather than going public. He added that would not assure the State of a revenue stream from the manufacturing operation of Agrium. Mr. McDowell stressed, "Agrium more than carries its own weight" and concluded that the stability policy assures Alaska of revenue and economic benefit. Representative Stoltze commented on how the loss of 300 jobs would affect the Kenai community and economy. He hoped there was someway to quantify the fiscal note. Representative Croft inquired if the State was pricing the royalty gas too high and questioned making statutory changes that results in a loss of money. Mr. Nugent guaranteed that the agreement between the producer and the user would be a fair economic value for that gas. Representative Croft pointed out that over a period of time, it could be a lower price. Mr. Nugent interjected that there is a possibility that over time, the value price could increase in value. Representative Croft questioned why the market has not operated to address this concern. Mr. Nugent responded that Cook Inlet is in the stranded gas system with five producers and three major consumers. Representative Croft mentioned that there are seven other producers to buy from. Mr. Nugent corrected that there are only five producers in Cook Inlet. LISA PARKER, GOVERNMENT & COMMUNITY RELATIONS ADVISOR FOR AGRIUM U.S., KENAI, advised, currently, Alaska has stipulated that the highest paying rate should be paid for natural gas in Cook Inlet. The State has never received the "higher-of" in any of the gas that they have sold. The utilities right now have the ability to negotiate and get between the price that they and the producer have negotiated. The State could accept that as the price. Currently, the State of Alaska, through their process, negotiates settlement agreements with the company following an audit years past to negotiate that price. The "higher up" price has actually never been paid to the State of Alaska in the Cook Inlet. Representative Croft stated that the fiscal note indicates that the State will loose some revenue on the arrangement. He questioned if that was appropriate in order to protect three hundred jobs, and asked why the State is not able to buy from someone that is not inflating the price. Mr. Nugent spoke to the fiscal note, claiming that it acts as a forecast and that the nature of a forecast makes assumptions. Predictability and stability are the goals. Agrium believes that they will be able to strike a deal that is fair to both Agrium and the State of Alaska. Representative Croft questioned if it could be lower. TAPE HFC 03 - 38, Side B  Mr. Nugent responded that compared to today's value, it could be a lower price. Co-Chair Williams recommended that Representative Croft get together with the Agrium staff to discuss these concerns. He recommended that the Committee could further discuss these ideas at the next scheduled meeting. Representative Croft asked why Agrium was not buying from the other producers. Mr. Nugent responded that they do buy gas from producers on property that does not have State ownership. He noted that there are several private individuals who would like to develop their natural gas fields. Agrium would like to receive definition and predictability around the wells and properties owned by the State. Representative Whitaker inquired about future production and contracts. He asked about the royalty certainty on all State leased lands regardless of the producer. Given additional gas supply, he assumed that it would be probable that production would increase. Mr. Nugent advised that in the current situation, the gas in Cook Inlet has reached a point where the demand exceeds supply. Currently, they are at a 75% capacity. He stated that it would be difficult to get back to capacity during the next two years. Representative Whitaker asked if given the "feed stock", could the market bear productivity increases. Mr. Nugent thought it would. Representative Whitaker asked if it was fair to assume that there would be an increased supply. Representative Whitaker inquired how long after the fact could an audit appear for royalty charges. Mr. Nugent stated that it could take place four or five years after the fact. Representative Whitaker advised that a company might not know their full cost until after royalty charges, which could be four or five years after the fact. Co-Chair Williams inquired how the federal royalty system works for Agrium. Ms. Parker explained that the manner in which the State gets their royalty is based on the costs which the producer and consumer have negotiated. That is the manner in which royalties are calculated. She added that the proposed legislation would establish that standard. MARK MEYERS, (TESTIFIED VIA TELECONFERENCE), DIRECTOR, DIVISION OF OIL AND GAS, DEPARTMENT OF NATURAL RESOURCES, stated that the federal system was based on market value, which is similar to the State's prevailing or market value. Mr. Meyers commented that it is difficult to determine arms length contracts with many factors involved and added that a company could be audited up to six years. In most cases, the audits are done to ensure proper royalties are paid based on the allocation and that the transportation costs are reasonable. He noted that due diligence was standard as with any business. Mr. Meyers recognized the value of the Agrium plant, which adds value to the gas and the high paying jobs available. No one wants to threaten that business or industry. He voiced a concern regarding the effectiveness of the relief provided. He pointed out the volatility of gas prices, noting that in Cook Inlet, it rests in smaller amounts. Mr. Meyer observed that one of the challenges is to determine how to provide effective relief. To close down the business would be value and economy lost to the State for the short term. Additionally, he asked if shutting them down would deter gas exploration throughout the State. All explorers want the highest value contract. There are natural market economics occurring in the market. He suggested that the situation could be remedied if the balance of gas in the Cook Inlet area would change. The State does need more offshore exploration and ways to stimulate it. The legislation provides some certainty in terms of audit cases. Mr. Meyer commented on the fiscal note, based on creating many different scenarios at various capacities. The fiscal note attempts to encompass all reasonable outcomes. Clearly, if the plant were to close down, it would be devastating to the local community and would defer gas there. That consideration was not taken into account when preparing the note. Representative Croft inquired if the demand for Cook Inlet gas exceeds the current supply. Mr. Meyers replied that it is about even now. People are not willing to pay less for the gas because of the problems getting it, which has created a "squeeze" on those that cannot pay the high utility market value. In previous years, there has been a surplus. He noted that the gas price in general has a lot of volatility. There are few long-term fix contracts anymore based on a market value approach. Representative Croft asked if that applied more broadly to Cook Inlet and the risk to the North Slope's collateral value. Mr. Meyers replied that it was limited to utilities that manufacture the agricultural chemicals. He noted that the original bill could have applied to any value added manufacturer but the bill was amended to limit that to manufacturers of agricultural chemicals. BILL POPP, (TESTIFIED VIA TELECONFERENCE), KENAI PENINSULA BOROUGH, OIL AND GAS LIAISON, KENAI, spoke in support of the bill. He commented that the legislation would be a step in providing a stable business environment for the value added manufacturing industry in the Cook Inlet basin. There are various value added industries located within that borough. HB 57 address issues faced by the Agrium facility. Agrium is a key component of the borough's economy as the third largest local employer accounting for $25 million payroll annual dollars. Agrium generates about $2.5 million dollars in property taxes annually. Mr. Popp stated that the bill addresses the issues of planning stability by providing for a consistent and reliable price structure. He urged passage of the bill. Representative Stoltze asked what percent of royalty payments were made for the Cook Inlet gas production going to Anchorage. Mr. Meyer responded that he did not know at that moment, the value of AA treatment for utilities. Vice Chair Meyer inquired if that reference was to the one-third ownership that the City of Anchorage has. Representative Stoltze responded that there had been legislation passed in the early nineties, which benefited Anchorage consumers and royalty rate in terms of a "long- term dependable" gas supply. In response to Vice Chair Meyer's, Mr. Meyers explained that they would qualify for AA treatment and would be receiving that value on the royalty. The lessee would be receiving the benefit and hopefully they would pass that on to their contract, but they are not required to. Many utilities value from 1991 to 1999 was about $6 million dollars. The value of the incentive has declined because of the price paid for gas, becomes prevailing value over time. Last year's average was less than anticipated. Representative Whitaker asked if AA treatment was determined by a contract price between a producer and a gas or electric utility. He commented that with the State involved, would they be providing more value. He suggested that an insertion that AA should not be a give away. Representative Joule commented that there are always accommodations made so that projects can have some validity. He recommended another revenue generation discussion in the Committee, determining when it becomes a "tradeoff". He agreed that the bill would stimulate economy, however, it is important to understand the State's need for revenue generating capabilities. Co-Chair Williams noted that work would be done on the fiscal note during the following week. He voiced his support for the bill. HB 57 was HELD in Committee for further consideration.