Legislature(2023 - 2024)ADAMS 519
04/19/2024 01:30 PM House FINANCE
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Audio | Topic |
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Start | |
HB74 | |
HB388 | |
Adjourn |
* first hearing in first committee of referral
+ teleconferenced
= bill was previously heard/scheduled
+ teleconferenced
= bill was previously heard/scheduled
+ | HB 74 | TELECONFERENCED | |
+ | HB 388 | TELECONFERENCED | |
+ | TELECONFERENCED |
HOUSE BILL NO. 388 "An Act relating to state loans for oil and gas projects in the Cook Inlet sedimentary basin; relating to the Alaska Energy Authority; relating to the Alaska Industrial Development and Export Authority; and providing for an effective date." 2:48:09 PM REPRESENTATIVE TOM MCKAY, SPONSOR, explained that the bill was one of a "portfolio" of bills designed to stimulate increased gas production in Cook Inlet. He reminded the committee that Cook Inlet served a closed market and was limited to 70 Billion Cubic Feet (bcf) production per year. He indicated that importing LNG was not possible until 2030. The legislation was intended to close the gap. He summarized that HB 388 provided a mechanism through Alaska Industrial Development and Export Authority (AIDEA), to loan money to operators in Cook Inlet who lacked the resources to drill new wells in existing and proven new gas fields. The bill offered a framework but did not commit any funding. He read the sponsor statement (copy on file): Based on the projected shortage of Cook Inlet gas production in both the near-future and years to come, Southcentral Alaska risks becoming reliant on imported liquefied natural gas (LNG). This dependency not only threatens to destabilize our energy prices but also to erode the economic foundations of our state, impacting every Alaskan. HB 388 is a potential solution to this problem and is designed to bolster our state's energy independence and economic stability by leveraging gas that is in the ground but not currently being developed. Reserve-Based Lending is an asset-based financing mechanism in the oil and gas industry in which loans are made based on either undeveloped or developed and producing oil and gas assets. The amount of the loan is based on the value of the borrower's oil and gas reserves. This bill proposes the establishment of a Cook Inlet Reserve-Based Lending Fund to support increased oil and gas production in Cook Inlet, ensuring that we continue to prioritize local production over expected costly LNG imports. Recognizing the challenges of attracting private capital to Cook Inlet gas plays, HB 388 proposes a solution to finance projects essential for enhancing affordable gas production for Alaskan's. This innovative funding mechanism will not only help avoid the potential economic impacts associated with importing liquefied natural gas, but also ensure a more secure and self-reliant energy future for Alaskans. By making prudent, interest-aligned loans against oil and gas reserves, the state can catalyze critical infrastructure developments, thereby safeguarding and expanding Cook Inlet's contribution to our energy supply. I urge my colleagues of the 33rd Legislature and the people of Alaska to support HB 388 as a step towards energy development, economic resilience, and the long- term prosperity of our great state. 2:52:22 PM TREVOR JEPSEN, STAFF, REPRESENTATIVE TOM MCKAY, introduced the PowerPoint presentation "HB 388 Cook Inlet Reserve- Based Lending" dated April 19, 2024 (copy on file). He began on Slide 2 titled "Cook Inlet Gas Shortage South Central will face an increasing gas production shortage in the coming years ? Fallback solution to Cook Inlet gas is LNG imports ? LNG imports estimated to be significantly more expensive, however exact increase is currently speculative Mr. Jepsen recounted that a projected Cook Inlet gas shortage threatened the energy security of Southcentral Alaska. A potential shortfall was expected as early as 2027 increasing through 2040. He cited the Ditman Research opinion poll from July 2023 that showed Southcentral residents held a "high level of opposition" to imported LNG and a "high level of support" for implementing financial incentives to increase Cook Inlet gas production. Many experts believed that gas imports would be significantly more expensive than locally produced gas. He believed that the legislature owed a solution to Alaska residents through increased exploration and production. He pointed to the graph on slide 2 that portrayed fuel price forecasts for the next 16 years from the Alaska Energy Authority. He remarked that by simply hoping the price for imported LNG would cost the same as Cook Inlet gas and not taking any action was not in the best interest of Alaskans. He believed that HB 388 represented a proactive approach to development of Cook Inlet gas reserves. He added that private sector capital had not been secured due to project economics in a highly competitive global market. Mr. Jepsen continued to slide 3 titled "Cook Inlet Gas: Private Capital Attraction Issues Expensive, risky, or low rate of return projects have difficulty in the private market ? Oil and gas projects are highly capital-intensive investments competing for limited capital in a world of (relatively) unlimited projects ? Nature of Cook Inlet as a stranded gas market further complicates funding issues for private investment Mr. Jepsen voiced that the petroleum industry faced a "complex global environment" engaging in exploration and development amidst fluctuating prices and other factors. Financial institutions were confronted with limitations related to capital necessitating collaboration with entities that helped mitigate some risk such as, local governments that were stake holders in oil and gas development. He identified that the primary issue in Cook Inlet gas development was attracting private capital for "proven and highly probable reserves." If only so much gas a year could be sold, the potential rate of return on investment could decrease due to the time value of money, making a project uneconomical. Mr. Jepsen continued on slide 4 titled "Reserve-Based Lending (RBL) o Financing structure for independent oil and gas companies o "Borrowing-base" type of loan based on the projected Net Present Value (NPV) of cash flows generated by the underlying hydrocarbon assets o Began in onshore Texas in the 1970's; use accelerated for UK North Sea plays in the 1970's and 1980's o A state-funded RBL program would balance lower project rates of return against the avoidance of the impact of higher and unstable energy prices on Alaskans Mr. Jepsen explained that repayment of a RBL loan happened through the sale of oil and gas from the assets. The value of RBL was periodically adjusted to reflect shifts in underlying assumptions like production volume, market prices, evaluation of reserves, taxation, etc. He delineated that RBL was an established financing tool with origins in the United States. The market was segmented into two primary regions, the U.S. and International markets. Due to the Alaska Constitution, Alaskan RBL lending structures would mimic the international market structure because the mineral rights belonged to the state. He added that state funded RBL financing would not necessarily be for the full amount of the project and in many cases would be one of many financing mechanisms. Mr. Jepsen continued on slide 5 titled "Reserve Classifications o Not all "reserves" are equal: 3 classifications: Proven (P1), Probable (P2), and Possible (P3) Mr. Jepsen elaborated that the deterministic method of calculating reserves was based on known geology, technology, and economic conditions. The method employed a single set of values that represented a best estimate for each parameter in order to estimate reserves and was the most common estimation technique. He delineated that the probabilistic method estimated reserves by incorporating the uncertainty in key parameters of the calculation, which resulted in a range of estimated reserves at different levels of probability. The method provided a more comprehensive view of risk and enabled decision makers to better grasp the range of outcomes. He determined that the best way to approach reserve classification was to use a combination of both methods. According to the chart on the slide, he reported that Proved (P1) correlated to P90 reserves, Probable (P2) reserves correlated to P50, and Possible related to P10 reserves. He noted that a state funded program would focus on proven reserves and the bill made the distinction. 3:00:34 PM continued on slide 6 titled "HB 388 Cook Inlet Reserve- Based Lending o Establishes Cook Inlet Reserve Based Lending fund under AIDEA outside of their revolving fund; conforms fund to current AIDEA dividend policy and defines funding sources. Also allows for the creation of AIDEA subsidiaries to issue loans. o Does not specify an appropriation, simply creates the fund allowing legislature flexibility to fund directed projects o Introduces reporting requirement for AIDEA to deliver to the legislature at the beginning of each new session regarding potential Cook Inlet RBL projects o Funds may be used for reserve-based loans deemed necessary to increase oil and gas production from the Cook Inlet Sedimentary Basin Mr. Jepsen concluded that HB 388 allowed AIDEA to issue loans to the private sector with lower rates of return than typically allowed. 3:01:44 PM Representative Stapp ascertained that the state would capitalize an account and let companies' loan on a state owned asset; the oil and gas reserve, and when the gas was produced, they would sell it back to "us." He asked if his assessment was fair. Mr. Jepsen answered that they would receive the loan based on the value of the produced asset. The revenue and profit were associated with extracting the asset, which was how the loan value would be calculated. Representative Stapp inquired as to who owned the asset. He proposed that the state did. Mr. Jepsen responded in the affirmative, which was why the lending structure was fashioned after the international market loan structure. Representative Stapp hypothesized the scenario of asking the North Rim Bank for a loan using its Anchorage asset as collateralization for the loan and paying back via its business model. He wondered if he should expect to get the loan by using the banks asset as collateral. Mr. Jepsen replied that the comparison was "apples to oranges" and that the two were not comparable. He voiced that there was significant value to gas extraction, which was what the loan was based upon. The state could not extract the reserves itself, therefore the scenario brought "significant value" to the state. He remarked that it was necessary for a third party to conduct the activity to bring the revenues to the state. Representative Stapp asked what happened to the state's funding if the state "gives them the money to develop our gas and they go bankrupt." Mr. Jepsen responded that there was a level of risk as with all loans and AIDEA had the discretion to perform the financial due diligence. Representative McKay interjected that the bill did not authorize lending money to anyone, but it set up the framework that could be enacted under another bill in the future. He replied that if a company went bankrupt, the assets were still in existence and the likely outcome was that another operator would take over and assume the loan. The loan payments were from the sale of the produced gas. He emphasized that there was no risk to the state with HB 388 and pointed to bullet point 4 on slide 6. He offered that the bill required AIDEA to assess the Cook Inlet situation and recommend projects. He recommended that the committee take a hard look at the bill. He characterized the legislation as an evaluation program to find out what was available in Cook Inlet as a basis for a decision on how to proceed. 3:06:36 PM Representative Stapp asked whether AIDEA currently had any debt or bonds issued to Blue Crest or Furie. 3:06:58 PM BRANDON BREFCZYNSKI, DEPUTY DIRECTOR, ALASKA INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT AND EXPORT AUTHORITY, ANCHORAGE (via teleconference), responded that AIDEA had a loan with Blue Crest with a balance of $13 million. Representative Stapp asked what the purpose was of the loan. Mr. Brefczynski answered that the purpose was to finance the rig and the man camp. Representative McKay interjected that the rig drilled several oil wells at the Cosmopolitan field and were currently producing. He voiced that the investment was providing a return to the state. Representative Stapp responded that the point to his inquiry was the state was already providing investment money. He wondered if there was anything that prevented AIDEA from issuing more loans to the producers. Mr. Brefczynski responded in the negative. He expounded that AIDEA currently has the ability and had issued loans to finance Cook Inlet efforts. The authority provided a loan to HEX for $7.5 million, which was repaid. He deduced that clarity in the statutes was "better" even though AIDEA could finance projects in Cook Inlet and had the ability to structure the size of its debt using a reserve based model. He appreciated the clarity the bill offered. Representative McKay added that there were two different fields at Cosmopolitan: an oil field and a gas field. The rig that AIDEA provided money for was an onshore oil rig. The legislation was focused on gas extraction and was a completely different project. Representative Stapp inquired what type of asset evaluation was performed when companies were awarded loans to ensure the loan would be repaid. He wondered if potential production was factored in or the company's balance sheet was reviewed. Mr. Brefczynski replied that it included all of the above. He related that the "extensive due diligence process" included hiring a contractor to review assets, review the company's fiscal model, and vetting through AIDEA's investment committee and board. 3:11:11 PM Representative Hannan asked about slide 6 and referred to the second bullet specifically the language, "allowing legislature flexibility to fund directed projects" related to the dividend created. She asked if the bill would offer more legislative authority to give direction internal to AIDEA's decision making regarding eligible projects. Mr. Jepsen responded that one of the most important aspects of the bill was the reporting mandate that required AIDEA to review Cook Inlet Reserve Based Lending projects. He indicated that the provision was not in current statute. The projects were evaluated by such measures as project cost estimate, potential recoverable gas, and the amount necessary to be appropriated to the fund. The bullet point addressed the created fund that offered the legislature flexibility to fund the projects analyzed by AIDEA. Representative Hannan relayed that she consistently was asked why the legislature did not direct projects within AIDEA. She understood the legislature could not make the decisions regarding AIDEA's loans. She ascertained that the bill created the flexibility for the legislature to decide which Cook Inlet RBL projects should be funded. Mr. Jepsen responded in the affirmative. Representative Hannan asked if it would limit the projects to only those included in AIDEA's report. Mr. Jepsen answered that the legislation did not replace AIDEA's current RBL lending ability. He furthered that for most of the projects AIDEA was not making RBL type loans because they did not meet the fiduciary responsibility due to lower rates of return. The legislature could choose to capitalize these types of projects via the authority in the bill. 3:14:58 PM Representative Josephson reported that historically, AIDEA's returns had only been in the 3 percent range anyway. He pointed to the first bullet point on slide 6 focusing on the language "Establishes Cook Inlet Reserve Based Lending fund under AIDEA outside of their revolving fund;" He asked if the revolving fund was the typical loan fund with funds lending out and loan payments repaying the fund. Mr. Brefczynski responded in the affirmative. Representative Josephson asked if AIDEA had "hundreds of millions of dollars" of unencumbered funds. Mr. Brefczynski replied that AIDEA had a "cash position" but also had a project pipeline in the range of $400 to $500 million of potential projects. He reported that the money was accounted for. Representative Josephson asked if a portion of the unencumbered funding would be incumbered for the RBL program in the bill. Mr. Brefczynski asked for clarification. Representative Josephson assumed that some of AIDEA's unencumbered loan funds would shrink to some degree for the purposes of Cook Inlet RBL. Mr. Brefczynski responded that it would only be if the board decided to move its own receipts into the RBL fund for an active loan application. He furthered that if the legislature were to appropriate general fund (GF) money to the fund the amount would be designated only for RBL. Representative Josephson asked that if the legislature approved a recommended RBL the funding would be AIDEA dollars and not GF. Mr. Brefczynski answered that the funding could be either or AIDEA funding or GF. He voiced that for the likelihood of AIDEA to approve a loan below market interest rates it would likely need GF funding. The authority was subject to the prudent investor rule and other policies and was limited in supporting loans below interest rates. However, in the past, the legislature had appropriated money to AIDEA for the Interior Gas Utility (IGU) project in Fairbanks at a lower market rate. 3:20:15 PM Representative Stapp summarized that a private company would collateralize the state's asset, lend state money to the company by net present cash value repaying the loan in sales to the state. He wondered what mechanism was available to limit the company's profit margin from the system he described. Representative McKay responded that the company would not sell the product to the state. He communicated that the gas would be sold to utilities and the company would repay the loan from the sales revenue. The utilities price was regulated by the Regulatory Commission of Alaska (RCA), and he doubted that a windfall profit situation could result from the provisions in the bill. He reminded the committee that the Regulatory Commission of Alaska regulated the price of gas produced in Cook Inlet and sold to utilities. Representative Stapp referred to the price controls. He deemed that the problem with the demand was at the end user point of sale. He wondered if there was a higher profit margin via the utilities paying more money for gas whether it would make the economics of the project more valuable to the producers. Representative McKay could not predict future gas prices in Cook Inlet. He believed that gas produced in Cook Inlet would be cheaper than importing LNG. He commented on other legislation put forward to mitigate the situation that included royalty relief. He viewed HB 388 as another way to incentivize more gas production activity in Cook Inlet if the royalty relief bills failed to increase production. He warned that if the private sector lost interest and left Cook Inlet the state would have to operate an Alaska oil and gas company. He was attempting to design bills that left the work in the hands of the private sector while the state assisted via the financial aspect. He maintained that the bill did not currently commit any funds. The bill facilitated determing how much more gas could be produced in Cook Inlet and whether it was worth investing in the private sector. 3:24:48 PM Representative Stapp wondered why the state did not just purchase a jackup rig. He asked if the state had purchased a rig in the past. Mr. Jepsen answered in the affirmative and added that the Endeavor rig was roughly $140 million, and the state's portion was $20 million. 3:25:24 PM MARK DAVIS, ATTORNEY, ALASKA INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT AND EXPORT AUTHORITY, ANCHORAGE (via teleconference), confirmed that the rig cost $140 million and AIDEA contributed $23 million and made a return on the investment. Representative Stapp asked what happened to the rig. Mr. Davis responded that it was moved to South Africa by one of the state's partners that purchased the state's portion. He furthered that while in operation, the state drilled several abatement holes and determined that some of the areas did not contain oil and gas reserves. He voiced that RBL created a borrowing base rather than resource based lending. Representative Stapp asked if the state could bring back the rig. Mr. Davis answered that if would need to be purchased. He noted that there was another jackup rig in Cook Inlet. Representative McKay did not think it was advisable to buy large marine drilling equipment which had significant liability. 3:27:05 PM HB 388 was HEARD and HELD in committee for further consideration. Co-Chair Foster reviewed the agenda for the following meeting.
Document Name | Date/Time | Subjects |
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HB388 Presentation ver. D 4.12.24.pdf |
HFIN 4/19/2024 1:30:00 PM |
HB 388 |
HB388 Sponsor Statement ver. D 4.12.24.pdf |
HFIN 4/19/2024 1:30:00 PM |
HB 388 |
HB388 Sectional Analysis ver. D 4.12.24.pdf |
HFIN 4/19/2024 1:30:00 PM |
HB 388 |
HB388 Summary of Changes (S to D) 4.12.24.pdf |
HFIN 4/19/2024 1:30:00 PM |
HB 388 |
HB 74 Public Testimony Rec'd by 042524.pdf |
HFIN 4/19/2024 1:30:00 PM |
HB 74 |