Legislature(2023 - 2024)ADAMS 519
03/20/2024 01:30 PM House FINANCE
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Audio | Topic |
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Adjourn | |
Start | |
HB144 | |
SB22 | |
Overview: Budget Update |
* first hearing in first committee of referral
+ teleconferenced
= bill was previously heard/scheduled
+ teleconferenced
= bill was previously heard/scheduled
+ | HB 144 | TELECONFERENCED | |
+= | SB 22 | TELECONFERENCED | |
+ | TELECONFERENCED | ||
+= | HB 268 | TELECONFERENCED | |
+= | HB 270 | TELECONFERENCED | |
+ | TELECONFERENCED |
HOUSE BILL NO. 268 "An Act making appropriations for the operating and loan program expenses of state government and for certain programs; capitalizing funds; amending appropriations; making capital appropriations; making supplemental appropriations; making reappropriations; making appropriations under art. IX, sec. 17(c), Constitution of the State of Alaska, from the constitutional budget reserve fund; and providing for an effective date." HOUSE BILL NO. 270 "An Act making appropriations for the operating and capital expenses of the state's integrated comprehensive mental health program; and providing for an effective date." ^OVERVIEW: BUDGET UPDATE 2:33:08 PM ALEXEI PAINTER, DIRECTOR, LEGISLATIVE FINANCE DIVISION, shared that he would be providing a fiscal update based on the spring revenue forecast, the latest round of governor's amendments, and the committee substitute (CS) for the operating budget. He introduced a PowerPoint presentation titled "Fiscal Update" dated March 20, 2024 (copy on file). He began on slide 2 with an updated fiscal summary of the governor's amended budgets. The amendments received by the Legislative Finance Division (LFD) on March 13, 2024, were included in the update, as well as the impacts of the spring revenue forecast. Mr. Painter continued that the revenue forecast increased the expectation in both FY 24 and FY 25, which could be seen on the first line on the chart on the slide as an increase of about $58 million in FY 24. The governor's amended language included a provision that amended the Permanent Fund Dividend (PFD) appropriation for FY 24 and increased unrestricted general fund (UGF) revenue by another $6.9 million. The UGF revenue increase was beyond the spring forecast numbers. In FY 25, the difference was about $140 million of UGF revenue over the fall forecast. For agency operations in FY 25, the governor's amendments resulted in an increase of about $1.9 million in UGF, which was not significant. The capital budget increased slightly in the governor's amended budget in FY 25, as well as in FY 24 supplementals. Mr. Painter explained that the biggest change in the governor's amended budget was to the supplemental. There was a decrease of $19 million for fire suppression based on updated estimates as well as some increases, particularly for the Grid Innovation and Resilience Partnerships (GRIP) projects and Alaska Energy Authority's (AEA) grid resilience project. Overall, the governor's supplementals had been reduced. The supplementals totaled $183 million before the amendments were added and were now $175.8 million with the inclusion of the amendments. There would be a post-transfer surplus in FY 24 of $116.5 million. Mr. Painter continued to slide 3 and stated that in FY 25, the main impact of the spring forecast was a reduction in the deficit in the governor's budget. The deficit was $1 billion prior to the forecast and was currently down to $867 million with the inclusion of the amendments. The slide also included a visual representation of the FY 24 budget at various oil prices. The oil prices were on the bottom and the revenue was on the y-axis on the graph. The blue bar area on the bottom represented the revenue allocated to the FY 24 budget that was authorized during the previous legislative session. The dark blue section represented the $175 million of new supplementals. If the price of oil was below about $75 a barrel, the budget would have an unfilled deficit, which was an increased price from his previous report to the committee because of the addition of the supplementals. He relayed that it was theoretically possible for prices to crash and go below $75 a barrel for the year, but it was highly unlikely. Mr. Painter noted that if revenue equaled the amount in the spring forecast or higher, the budget would have a $292.3 million surplus. The governor's supplementals totaled $175.8 million which would leave $116.5 in revenue available for the supplementals in the current year. If the surplus was not spent, the money would lapse into the Constitutional Budget Reserve (CBR). The additional revenue would be split equally between an energy relief payment that would be distributed as part of the PFD in FY 25 or as a separate payment, and all additional revenue would go into the CBR. He thought the oil revenue would most likely fall somewhere between the dotted lines on the graph which indicated that there would be an energy relief payment, but the payment would not be maxed out. The maximum would be about a $500 dollar payment per person at the top of the range. He estimated that the energy relief payment would be about $220 dollars per person and a total of $143 million dollars. 2:38:13 PM Mr. Painter advanced to slide 4, which detailed the changes in the CS for the operating budget as compared to the governor's amended budget. He relayed that the CS was $6.6 million in UGF above the governor's amended budget for agency operations. However, there was $10 million in UGF allocated for the movement of a university capital budget item to the operating budget, which netted out of the total impact. He noted that the governor's operating budget amendments, which were not introduced prior to the CS, added $2 million in UGF. Mr. Painter explained that the CS for statewide items for the House was $5 million below government items. The CS added $5.2 million of new mental health capital appropriations to match the Alaska Mental Health Trust Authority's (AMHTA) recommendation. There was a reduction of roughly $4.8 million overall. Mr. Painter continued to slide 5 which compared the FY 24 and FY 25 spring revenue forecast items. He explained that the chart reflected adding the additional mental health items in the CS and moving a $10 million project to agency operations. There was no appropriation for a PFD yet. He thought the most important item of note was that there was about $1.45 billion remaining that could go to any number of items, including the PFD. Mr. Painter advanced to slide 6 and detailed some of the major outstanding items in the fiscal update. He remarked that upholding the governor's veto on SB 140 was a significant action and fiscal notes for that bill had totaled $241.3 million. The largest item in the bill was the proposed Base Student Allocation (BSA) increase of $680, which would cost about $175 million. There was also a provision for broadband that may not be able to be addressed in the current year due to time constraints. If SB 140 or another education bill did not pass, broadband would need to be addressed in FY 26. The majority of the other items within SB 140 could be accomplished through one-time items or permanent items in the budget, such as the BSA increase and the pupil transportation increase. He noted that SB 140 was the only bill that had passed both bodies during the current legislative session and some of the bills still in circulation would be costly if the bills were to pass. Mr. Painter shared that a significant bill that had only passed the Senate thus far was the Senior Benefits Bill (SB 170]. The legislation passed with a fiscal note that required $23.5 million in UGF and there were no other bills with fiscal notes as large. The funding was not included in the governor's budget because the benefits program was expiring. The program had typically been funded each year and extended when it was set to sunset. There was also a potential shortfall in the Alaska Marine Highway System (AMHS) that could be quite significant. If AMHS ran a full seven-ship schedule but received the same sized grant as it had in recent years, it would have a budget of about $38 million; however, the grant was not guaranteed. The state was eligible for a grant that would be large enough to fill AMHS's entire federal authority in the governor's budget, but the state had not necessarily received the full grant amount each year. In 2023, the legislature put in backstop funding as a compensatory measure if federal receipts were insufficient. He did not think the legislature needed to exercise such caution because the state could assess whether additional funds needed to be added every year. If the state was not granted the entirety of the grant, the costs would likely need to be made up with UGF. Mr. Painter noted that there were four unions that were currently negotiating bargaining contracts: the Alaska Correctional Officers Association, the supervisory unit of the Alaska Public Employees Association, the Labor, Trades, and Crafts Unit, and the new University of Alaska union for graduate student employees. The university union was currently working on its first contract. All of the unions were actively negotiating new contracts to begin in FY 25. If salaries were increased as well, the potential cost would increase. 2:44:33 PM Representative Josephson understood that the total for the new items was not known, but he anticipated the cost would be around $20 million. If SB 140 were replaced with similar legislation, the items would total around $341 million. He understood that the $341 million would be subtracted from the post-transfer surplus of $1.44 billion detailed on the previous slide. He asked if he was correct in his understanding that the total would be around $1.1 billion. Mr. Painter responded that Representative Josephson's math was correct as long as the items on slide 6 were funded. He reiterated that negotiations were still occurring and the totals could not yet be known. The negotiations were due statutorily on day 60 of legislative session, but it was rare to receive the negotiations by the statutory deadline. He agreed that the items would total about $1.1 billion if the budget were to remain balanced and savings were not utilized. Representative Stapp asked when he could expect to know more details about the cost-budget analysis (CBA). Mr. Painter responded that the CBAs were due in statute by day 60; however, he was not certain if the deadline had ever been met. He noted that last year, CBAs were added on the last day that it could have been added to the budget. He recalled that the University of Alaska (UA) had asked for a CBA during a conference committee at one point but it was not feasible. He noted that there was often very little time to review the agreements and make a considerate decision. Representative Stapp asked why it was in statute if it was not followed. Mr. Painter responded that the point of the statute was to ensure that CBAs were considered. He recalled one year in which there was an item that the legislature felt there was no time to review, and the conference committee wrote a letter accompanying the conference committee report that said that the exclusion of the union from the conference committee budget would not represent denying the bargaining unit. He relayed that there was simply not enough time to consider some items and therefore, the items were delayed until the following year's supplemental. He explained that it was not an unusual action. 2:47:39 PM Mr. Painter continued on slide 7, which included other potential budget items. He explained that the administration generated a list of funding requests. The first item was $5 million in funding for a renewable energy fund. When the governor prepared the budget, the list had not yet been developed. He noted that AEA subsequently requested $32 million and the governor's amount would pay for the top two projects and about a quarter of the third project. Last year, the governor added $7.5 million for renewable energy and the legislature subsequently increased the funding amount. The total list cost for school construction was $260.5 million and the governor funded the top project on the list for $4 million. The total list cost for school major maintenance was $249 million and the governor funded the top two projects for $4.3 million. Finally, the state had a nearly $2.2 billion backlog of deferred maintenance. The governor had $28.2 million for deferred maintenance purposes coming from the Alaska Capital Income Fund and the legislature had often allocated additional funding. The university had a $1.5 billion backlog and requested $35 million through a bill. The university item had been frequently vetoed when the legislature allocated additional funding for it. Representative Galvin asked if the backlog was inclusive of the actions that had taken place in the past. She asked if the full list represented the current backlog. Mr. Painter responded that the difference was that the state as a whole had a $2.2 billion dollar backlog and the university made up $1.5 billion of the backlog. The vast majority of the state's deferred maintenance was at the university. He shared that the university cataloged its deferred maintenance more rigorously than the rest of the state. The university had much larger square footage than other agencies, which contributed to its deferred maintenance. 2:51:06 PM Mr. Painter continued on slide 8, which included additional potential budget items. In 2023, the governor vetoed a $30 million capitalization for the community assistance fund. Without the $30 million capitalization, the FY 25 distribution would have been $20 million. At the beginning of a new fiscal year, one-third of the balance as of the end of the previous fiscal year was added to the fund, which would be $20 million for FY 25. The base payments were distributed to every local government based on the type of government. The additional amount was the per capita payment and would be equally distributed to all local governments in the state. The impact of that veto was primarily felt in urban areas with higher populations. Mr. Painter explained that there were a few potential strategies to compensate for the funding that would have been available if it was not vetoed. One strategy would be to fully capitalize the fund in FY 24 and essentially replace the amount that was vetoed. The other strategy would be to allocate $10 million to the fund in FY 25. However, there would still be a shortfall in the fund in the following year because of the $20 million dollars difference, but it would fill the distribution hole in FY 25. Mr. Painter relayed that additionally, there were a number of bills that were listed on the slide that had only passed one body. There were a number of bills that had the potential to become law. The list was not inclusive of all legislation but represented a sampling for informational purposes. He suggested that legislators leave some money for fiscal notes to ensure that the bills that would likely pass could be funded. The governor's capital budget would not include legislative district projects, but it simply reflected the governor's priorities. He noted that he had heard much discussion on the university and noted that there was a difference between the regents' request and the governor's budget. There was a difference of $18.6 million in UGF in the operating budget between the regents' request and governor's budget and a $27 million difference in the capital budget. He noted that $10 million in the operating budget was changed from university receipts to UGF. Mr. Painter noted that he had also heard significant discussion on child care. In 2023, the legislature allocated $7.5 million dollars as a one-time increment for child care; however, the funding was not in the governor's current budget. Also in 2023, the Council on Domestic Violence and Sexual Assault (CDVSA) received $3.7 million for one-time items, which was also not in the current budget. There could be additional items that would emerge in the legislative process that members could be interested in funding that were not yet reflected. 2:55:37 PM Representative Hannan asked for confirmation that an additional $20 million for the Community Assistance Fund would provide both the money needed for distribution in FY 25 and as well as the capitalization needed for the following fiscal year. Mr. Painter responded in the affirmative, but noted that the timing would be different. The budget currently included $10 million in FY 25, but $30 million would be needed for FY 24. The difference was an increase of $20 million. The $10 million in FY 25 was intended to "top up" the distribution. Representative Hannan understood that the fund balance was normally $90 million and one-third of it was paid out each year. If the fund were to decrease to $60 million, the total amount paid out would be $20 million. She understood that $30 million should be added to compensate. Mr. Painter responded that it would not put any more money into the fund, but would add to the one-time distribution in FY 25 alone. If $30 million was deposited into the fund, the $10 million would be unnecessary. The cost would increase by $20 million, but it would be directly distributed to communities. Representative Hannan asked if the recommendation was to include a $30 million amendment into the FY 24 supplemental capitalizing fund instead of leaving the $10 million in FY 25. Mr. Painter responded in the affirmative. If $20 million was added, the distribution would be based on $80 million, and it would not function properly. 2:58:28 PM Mr. Painter continued on slide 9 and gave an overview of fire and disaster funding, which was often underfunded in the budget and later paid with supplementals. From FY 14 through FY 23, the actual UGF spending for fire suppression averaged $49.3 million dollars. He noted that the amounts for FY 22 and FY 23 were based on the amount included in the budget in addition to the final supplemental. The reconciliation process for the funding took a number of years, but $49.3 million was the average final authorized amount. The governor's budget for fire suppression preparedness included $14.2 million, which meant there was a difference of $35 million. The governor's budget also included an increment to increase firefighters' salaries. The state would need to allocate about $49.3 million in order to fund an average fire year. The governor's supplemental budget included $75 million in supplemental funding for fire suppression activity in the current year. There had been a supplemental for fire suppression activity almost every year since FY 14 and a history of underbudgeting. The state overspent the original budgeted amount every year and therefore needed to request a supplemental every year. The green line on the chart represented the average spend. There were several years above the average as well as several years below the average. Mr. Painter noted that the Disaster Relief Fund (DRF) supported other types of disasters. The fund was not financed in a routine manner and the last deposit was $50 million in FY 22. The governor was requesting $5 million for disaster relief purposes. The actual average spending from the fund was about $20.5 million, but it was impossible to predict whether disasters would occur. He relayed that the state did not experience disasters every year and it was impossible to know when a disaster would occur, but it was routinely under budgeting. He expected that the state would probably require a supplemental in FY 25. Representative Stapp asked why fire service was grossly underbudgeted every year. Mr. Painter responded that it was a policy decision by the legislature. He noted that in an effort to increase budget transparency in FY 20, the legislature increased the funding to be equal to the lowest funding level in the last 10 years. He shared that the state had never tried to fund an average amount for fire suppression. 3:02:23 PM Representative Josephson asked why it would be a problem if the funding were to remain a supplemental item. Mr. Painter responded that the downside of budgeting for supplementals was that all of the costs could not be known. For example, California had a history of underbudgeting Medicaid and rolling bills to the next year. The costs eventually had to be trued up which could be expensive. The combination of routine underbudgeting and relying on the supplementals meant the legislature would need to make difficult budgetary decisions. He noted that sometimes it was often easier to get a CBR vote for the supplemental than for the current year, which happened in 2023. He thought it was a political calculation. Routine supplementals would not provide clarity for budgetary purposes and could lead to potential misallocation of resources. 3:04:31 PM Mr. Painter continued to slide 10, which included the change in budgeted positions. The state currently had a high vacancy rate of about 14 percent. The FY 24 budget would increase the number of budgeted positions by 115. There was continued growth in the budget despite the vacancies. Representative Josephson understood that the standard cost for a position with benefits was about $100,000, which would mean that the total for the increased number of positions would be $115 million. He asked if he was correct. Mr. Painter responded in the affirmative as long as all of the positions were fully funded. The legislature had occasionally chosen to partially fund new positions to allow time for hiring. HB 268 was HEARD and HELD in committee for further consideration. HB 270 was HEARD and HELD in committee for further consideration. Co-Chair Foster reviewed the agenda for the following day's meeting.
Document Name | Date/Time | Subjects |
---|---|---|
SB 22 Public Testimony Rec'd by 031524.pdf |
HFIN 3/20/2024 1:30:00 PM |
SB 22 |
HB 144 Sectional Analysis ver A.pdf |
HFIN 3/20/2024 1:30:00 PM |
HB 144 |
HB 144 Sponsor Statement ver A.pdf |
HFIN 3/20/2024 1:30:00 PM |
HB 144 |
HB 144- ETC Brochure.pdf |
HFIN 3/20/2024 1:30:00 PM |
HB 144 |
HB 144 Education Tax Credit Presentation 032024.pptx.pdf |
HFIN 3/20/2024 1:30:00 PM |
HB 144 |
HB 144- Dept of Revenue Ed Tax credit FAQ.pdf |
HFIN 3/20/2024 1:30:00 PM |
HB 144 |
HB 144 DOR 2011-2023 Summary Ed Tax Credits.pdf |
HFIN 3/20/2024 1:30:00 PM |
HB 144 |
HFIN Fiscal Update 3-20-24.pdf |
HFIN 3/20/2024 1:30:00 PM |
HB 268 HB 270 |
HB 144- Support letter Alaska's-Education-Tax-Credits-SB-120-and-HB-144.pdf |
HFIN 3/20/2024 1:30:00 PM |
HB 144 |
HB 144 Presentation 3.18.24.pdf |
HFIN 3/20/2024 1:30:00 PM |
HB 144 |