Legislature(2025 - 2026)BUTROVICH 205

04/15/2026 03:30 PM Senate RESOURCES

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Audio Topic
03:31:06 PM Start
03:31:44 PM SB280|| SB275
05:00:04 PM Adjourn
* first hearing in first committee of referral
+ teleconferenced
= bill was previously heard/scheduled
+= SB 275 NATURAL GAS PROJECTS/INCOME TAX/SURCHARGE TELECONFERENCED
Heard & Held
-- Invited & Public Testimony --
Bills Previously Heard/Scheduled:
+= SB 280 OIL & GAS PROPERTY TAX; MUNI TAX TELECONFERENCED
Heard & Held
-- Testimony <Invitation Only> --
**Streamed live on AKL.tv**
              SENATE RESOURCES STANDING COMMITTEE                                                                             
                         APRIL 15, 2026                                                                                       
                           3:31 P.M.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
                     INITIAL VERSION DRAFT                                                                                    
                              FOR                                                                                             
                 BILLS AND PRESENTATIONS                                                                                      
                 GERMANE TO 2ND SPECIAL SESSION                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
MEMBERS PRESENT                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Senator Cathy Giessel, Chair                                                                                                    
Senator Bill Wielechowski, Vice Chair                                                                                           
Senator Matt Claman                                                                                                             
Senator Forrest Dunbar                                                                                                          
Senator Scott Kawasaki                                                                                                          
Senator Robert Myers                                                                                                            
Senator George Rauscher                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
MEMBERS ABSENT                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
All members present                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
OTHER LEGISLATORS PRESENT                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Representative Donna Mears                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
COMMITTEE CALENDAR                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
SENATE BILL NO. 280                                                                                                             
"An Act relating to the  taxation of certain natural gas pipeline                                                               
property;   relating    to   municipal    taxation   limitations;                                                               
establishing  an  alternative  volumetric   tax  on  natural  gas                                                               
throughput;  relating  to  the allocation  of  revenue  from  the                                                               
alternative  volumetric  tax;  and  providing  for  an  effective                                                               
date."                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
     - HEARD & HELD                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
SENATE BILL NO. 275                                                                                                             
"An  Act  relating  to  natural gas  and  natural  gas  projects;                                                               
relating to the Alaska  Gasline Development Corporation; relating                                                               
to  the powers  and duties  of the  Legislative Budget  and Audit                                                               
Committee;  relating  to  the  value  of  certain  oil  and  gas;                                                               
relating  to  an  income  tax   on  certain  natural  gas-related                                                               
entities;   relating  to   the  oil   and  gas   production  tax;                                                               
establishing a surcharge on gas processed in the state; and                                                                     
providing for an effective date."                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
     - HEARD & HELD                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
PREVIOUS COMMITTEE ACTION                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
BILL: SB 280                                                                                                                  
SHORT TITLE: OIL & GAS PROPERTY TAX; MUNI TAX                                                                                   
SPONSOR(s): RULES BY REQUEST OF THE GOVERNOR                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
03/20/26       (S)       READ THE FIRST TIME - REFERRALS                                                                        
03/20/26       (S)       RES, FIN                                                                                               
03/23/26       (S)       RES WAIVED PUBLIC HEARING NOTICE,RULE                                                                  
                         23                                                                                                     
03/27/26       (S)       RES AT 3:30 PM BUTROVICH 205                                                                           
03/27/26       (S)       Heard & Held                                                                                           
03/27/26       (S)       MINUTE(RES)                                                                                            
03/30/26       (S)       RES AT 3:30 PM BUTROVICH 205                                                                           
03/30/26       (S)       Heard & Held                                                                                           
03/30/26       (S)       MINUTE(RES)                                                                                            
04/13/26       (S)       RES AT 3:30 PM BUTROVICH 205                                                                           
04/13/26       (S)       Heard & Held                                                                                           
04/13/26       (S)       MINUTE(RES)                                                                                            
04/14/26       (S)       RES AT 9:00 AM BUTROVICH 205                                                                           
04/14/26       (S)       Heard & Held                                                                                           
04/14/26       (S)       MINUTE(RES)                                                                                            
04/15/26       (S)       RES AT 3:30 PM BUTROVICH 205                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
BILL: SB 275                                                                                                                  
SHORT TITLE: NATURAL GAS PROJECTS/INCOME TAX/SURCHARGE                                                                          
SPONSOR(s): RESOURCES                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
03/05/26       (S)       READ THE FIRST TIME - REFERRALS                                                                        
03/05/26       (S)       RES, FIN                                                                                               
03/13/26       (S)       RES AT 3:30 PM BUTROVICH 205                                                                           
03/13/26       (S)       Heard & Held                                                                                           
03/13/26       (S)       MINUTE(RES)                                                                                            
03/18/26       (S)       RES AT 3:30 PM BUTROVICH 205                                                                           
03/18/26       (S)       Heard & Held                                                                                           
03/18/26       (S)       MINUTE(RES)                                                                                            
03/20/26       (S)       RES AT 3:30 PM BUTROVICH 205                                                                           
03/20/26       (S)       Heard & Held                                                                                           
03/20/26       (S)       MINUTE(RES)                                                                                            
04/14/26       (S)       RES AT 9:00 AM BUTROVICH 205                                                                           
04/14/26       (S)       Scheduled but Not Heard                                                                                
04/15/26       (S)       RES AT 3:30 PM BUTROVICH 205                                                                           
WITNESS REGISTER                                                                                                              
NICK FULFORD, Senior Director                                                                                                   
Liquid Natural Gas and Energy Transition                                                                                        
GaffneyCline                                                                                                                    
Houston, Texas                                                                                                                  
POSITION STATEMENT: Provided the presentation: Comments on SB
280.                                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
BRIAN KASSOF, Lead Regulatory Analyst                                                                                           
Alaska Public Interest Research Group (AKPIRG)                                                                                  
Fairbanks, Alaska                                                                                                               
POSITION STATEMENT: Testified in support of SB 275.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
MIKE CHENAULT, Board Member                                                                                                     
Alaska Gasline Development Corporation (AGDC)                                                                                   
Nikiski, Alaska                                                                                                                 
POSITION STATEMENT: Testified in support of SB 275.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
SEAN MCDERMOTT, Energy Policy Analyst                                                                                           
Fairbanks Climate Action Coalition                                                                                              
Homer, Alaska                                                                                                                   
POSITION STATEMENT: Testified in support of SB 275.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
MADDIE HALLORAN, representing self                                                                                              
Anchorage, Alaska                                                                                                               
POSITION STATEMENT: Testified in support of SB 275.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
DOUG WOODBY, 350 Juneau                                                                                                         
Juneau, Alaska                                                                                                                  
POSITION STATEMENT: Testified in support of SB 275.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
BEN BOETTGER, Energy Policy Analyst                                                                                             
Cook InletKeeper                                                                                                                
Soldotna, Alaska                                                                                                                
POSITION STATEMENT: Testified in support of SB 275.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
ACTION NARRATIVE                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
3:31:06 PM                                                                                                                    
CHAIR  GIESSEL called  the  Senate  Resources Standing  Committee                                                               
meeting to order  at 3:31 p.m. Present at the  call to order were                                                               
Senators  Rauscher,  Myers,  Kawasaki, Dunbar,  Wielechowski  and                                                               
Chair Giessel.                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
             SB 280-OIL & GAS PROPERTY TAX; MUNI TAX                                                                        
        SB 275-NATURAL GAS PROJECTS/INCOME TAX/SURCHARGE                                                                    
3:31:44 PM                                                                                                                    
[CHAIR GIESSEL announced the consideration of:                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
SENATE BILL NO.  280 "An Act relating to the  taxation of certain                                                               
natural  gas pipeline  property; relating  to municipal  taxation                                                               
limitations;  establishing  an   alternative  volumetric  tax  on                                                               
natural  gas throughput;  relating to  the allocation  of revenue                                                               
from  the  alternative  volumetric  tax;  and  providing  for  an                                                               
effective date."                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
and                                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
SENATE BILL NO.  275 "An Act relating to natural  gas and natural                                                               
gas  projects;   relating  to  the  Alaska   Gasline  Development                                                               
Corporation;   relating  to   the  powers   and  duties   of  the                                                               
Legislative Budget and Audit Committee;  relating to the value of                                                               
certain  oil  and gas;  relating  to  an  income tax  on  certain                                                               
natural  gas-related  entities;  relating  to  the  oil  and  gas                                                               
production tax; establishing a surcharge  on gas processed in the                                                               
state; and providing for an effective date."]                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
We are going  to start out first of all  with a presentation from                                                               
GaffneyCline. Public  testimony was noticed for  today's meeting,                                                               
and we  will take  that up probably  around 4:30-ish.  Anyone who                                                               
might be  on the  line or  here in the  room wishing  to testify,                                                               
we're going to hear from GaffneyCline first.                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
I will  welcome Nick Fulford.  He is  the Senior Director  of LNG                                                               
and Energy  Transition with GaffneyCline. Mr.  Fulford, thank you                                                               
for joining us  today. I know you were listening  in yesterday as                                                               
well. I'm  hoping you have some  comments to share with  us about                                                               
yesterday. So welcome.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
3:32:29 PM                                                                                                                    
NICK  FULFORD, Senior  Director,  Liquid Natural  Gas and  Energy                                                               
Transition,   GaffneyCline,   Houston,    Texas,   provided   the                                                               
presentation: Comments on SB 280.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Really to start off today's  dialogue, I would draw those viewing                                                               
at home to the basis of opinion  [on slide 2]. I'll leave that to                                                               
read at your leisure.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
3:33:07 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD moved to slide 3:                                                                                                   
Agenda - Topics to be Covered                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Today's discussion is formulated in three parts:                                                                                
The  first main  area deals  with what  I would  describe as  the                                                               
fiscal  framework around  how an  LNG project  typically evolves,                                                               
and the pros  and cons of making decisions around  that while the                                                               
project is still in a formative stage.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Secondly,  I wanted  to talk  about some  of the  mechanisms that                                                               
have been used elsewhere to  recognize the impact of LNG projects                                                               
on  communities and  their infrastructure.  For that,  I'll recap                                                               
briefly on Texas and Louisiana,  which we've spoken about before.                                                               
I  also wanted  to highlight  how the  approach differs  when the                                                               
impact of the project is arguably that bit more.                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Finally, really picking up the  tail end of yesterday's committee                                                               
hearing,  I also  wanted  to  talk about  the  economics and  the                                                               
impact of  the six  cents and  how it fits  in more  broadly with                                                               
other features.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Before continuing,  I also wanted to  highlight, particularly for                                                               
those viewing at  home, I know Chair Giessel and  I think Senator                                                               
Wielechowski will  be very well aware  of the work that  was done                                                               
under  Governor Parnell  and then  under Governor  Walker on  the                                                               
Municipal Advisory Gas Project Review Board back in 2014.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
It's a  good reminder that the  question of property tax  and its                                                               
structure  has been  under review  for quite  some time.  Several                                                               
revenue  commissioners have  dealt with  this in  different ways,                                                               
and certainly  from my  perspective, back in  2014 I  worked with                                                               
quite a number  of the boroughs and those affected,  so I do have                                                               
a sense of  how important these property taxes are  for the local                                                               
communities.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
With that,  maybe we can move  ahead to slide 5,  which is really                                                               
the start of the content.                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
3:35:06 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD moved to slide 5:                                                                                                   
Potential Approach to Fiscal Framework                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
I think to frame today's discussion,  it might be useful to think                                                               
about SB 280  really in two ways.  The first is the  way in which                                                               
the alternative volumetric tax works  compared with existing law,                                                               
and the  second is  to then  consider the level  of tax,  the six                                                               
cents.                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
But the  first question is  much more strategic. It  concerns the                                                               
basic  fiscal  architecture  of the  project,  which  developers,                                                               
buyers, and lenders  typically like to see in  a reasonable level                                                               
of detail  before progressing the project  toward FEED [Front-End                                                               
Engineering Design.]                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
What is  fiscal architecture? I  would describe that as  the main                                                               
interfaces with  the host government  and the way in  which taxes                                                               
and so forth are organized.                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Examples of  fiscal architecture  are shown on  the left  of this                                                               
slide,  starting  with  upstream  taxes.  Obviously,  Alaska  has                                                               
decades  of experience  in determining  a framework  for resource                                                               
development. It's based on a  combination of royalty and tax, and                                                               
it's something that is reviewed from  time to time and indeed may                                                               
be reviewed in  the context of this project.  The basic framework                                                               
is there and well understood.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
I'd also  include corporate income  tax under that  heading, both                                                               
federal and  state. Again, there's an  existing framework, albeit                                                               
with some changes  under discussion, but these  features are well                                                               
understood,   and  the   different  scenarios   can  be   modeled                                                               
effectively.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Next,  we have  the  question  of federal  support.  For the  LNG                                                               
project  what we're  talking about  here is  whether or  not loan                                                               
guarantees  are  offered.  It's  a key  feature  of  the  project                                                               
economics.  It's potentially  worth about  half the  property tax                                                               
question that's under discussion today.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
If you  look at Mr.  Stickel's presentation, page 36,  you'll see                                                               
that the  change in  project economics  with a move  from 5  to 7                                                               
percent cost  of debt,  which is roughly  the order  of magnitude                                                               
involved, the  impact is  also fairly  significant. So  that's an                                                               
interesting question  in terms  of how  property tax  and federal                                                               
loan guarantees impact one another.                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
3:37:54 PM                                                                                                                    
In one scenario,  both a change to property tax  and federal loan                                                               
guarantees might  be needed to get  the project over the  line. A                                                               
question  for  the legislature  may  be  how those  two  features                                                               
interact with one another.                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Moving on,  we've talked  before in  this committee  about fiscal                                                               
stability  and the  fact that  some LNG  developers enter  into a                                                               
contractual commitment with host  governments. For Alaska, that's                                                               
unlikely to  be the case. An  investor would look instead  at the                                                               
decades  of governance  and resource  management that  Alaska has                                                               
experienced over the years.                                                                                                     
It's also interesting  to note that the very  bill we're debating                                                               
today  would  be seen  as  an  important  step, I  think,  toward                                                               
establishing  the  fiscal  stability that  developers  and  other                                                               
stakeholders would want to see.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Next, we have the important  question of in-state supply. For the                                                               
most part,  the regulatory  controls that  would apply  to tariff                                                               
setting and so  forth are in place, some  conceivably under FERC,                                                               
others  under the  RCA. Even  if  changes are  needed, the  basic                                                               
premise is set out there for people to see.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
That leaves  us with property  tax. You've heard  other testimony                                                               
on  what  is effectively  a  lack  of compatibility  between  the                                                               
structure and framing of the  existing legislation in the context                                                               
of what is an exceptionally  large capital-intensive project that                                                               
is  also highly  exposed  to  front-end costs.  This  is the  one                                                               
element  of the  fiscal architecture  that really  remains to  be                                                               
resolved. It  will be  a concerned  bias for  project developers,                                                               
lenders,  and  others.  As  I  mentioned,  this  has  been  under                                                               
discussion for quite a few decades.                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
3:40:07 PM                                                                                                                    
CHAIR GIESSEL                                                                                                                   
I'm just  going to comment  on your second-to-the-last  bullet. I                                                               
appreciate  the  last  one  you  had, of  course.  The  RCA,  the                                                               
Regulatory Commission of  Alaska, does have some  interest in the                                                               
regulatory  process, which  may not  be as  clear-cut as  you may                                                               
assume. They will be presenting to us next week.                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
I mentioned to  the committee previously that the  Alaska Oil and                                                               
Gas  Conservation  Commission  (AOGCC)  has  a  process  for  gas                                                               
offtake  authorization, so  that also  is  a topic  that will  be                                                               
pertinent here.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
3:40:52 PM                                                                                                                    
SENATOR MYERS                                                                                                                   
I just kind  of want to revisit the fiscal  stability bullet that                                                               
you've got on  there. I recognize that we've been  doing this for                                                               
50-odd years  or so, and we've  got some experience in  it, but I                                                               
still wonder if we're as stable  as other places, or as stable as                                                               
we could be.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
You mentioned  that some places  do this contractually.  We can't                                                               
because  of  our  Constitution,  Article  IX,  Section  1.  We've                                                               
changed  our  tax  structure  around.  We've  talked  about  some                                                               
changes  on both  the upstream  and the  corporate tax  side this                                                               
year. I  believe a few  meetings ago  the chair mentioned  we did                                                               
some tax breaks for Cook Inlet a  dozen or so years ago, and then                                                               
we turned around and changed and rescinded some of those.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
So, I'm  really wondering if,  compared to the  global benchmark,                                                               
we really  have the fiscal stability  that we need for  a project                                                               
of this size.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
3:42:00 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD                                                                                                                     
Clearly, this is a topic that  frequently comes up in the context                                                               
of Alaska, so I'll keep my comments short.                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
I  think in  testimony  provided by  myself,  my colleagues,  and                                                               
other individuals,  investors don't like change,  particularly on                                                               
the  tax front.  You can  divide those  changes into  fundamental                                                               
structural changes and then changes to rates.                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
With a resource-rich  economy like Alaska's, it's  not unusual to                                                               
see changes in  tax. Interestingly, I was doing  some research on                                                               
this the other  day. The UK is actually the  least stable oil and                                                               
gas regime at the moment  because of the significant changes that                                                               
have been undergoing there. Norway,  I know you've looked at that                                                               
in this committee,  is one of the most stable.  It's a very high-                                                               
taxation regime, but it's been like that for many, many years.                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
It's a  major topic. Indeed,  one I'm  sure we'll return  to, but                                                               
I'll leave my comments at that.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
3:43:27 PM                                                                                                                    
SENATOR RAUSCHER                                                                                                                
This question  is for you. He's  got the last one  here, property                                                               
tax community  impacts. I know  we heard  from the mayors  in the                                                               
past.  I'm wondering,  have we  gotten anything  in writing  from                                                               
each  one of  the mayors  on  how it  was going  to impact  their                                                               
communities for us  to review from time to time,  or have we not?                                                               
I was just wondering.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
3:43:52 PM                                                                                                                    
CHAIR GIESSEL                                                                                                                   
No, I have nothing in writing.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
3:44:04 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD moved to slide 6:                                                                                                   
Approaches to Mitigating the Risks of Early Decisions                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Just a  reminder that  there are about  130 LNG  export terminals                                                               
around the world  today, in 22 countries. Each  of these projects                                                               
has  gone on  a very  similar journey  to the  one we're  talking                                                               
about here in Alaska. Each  has lessons and experience from which                                                               
to draw.  Fundamentally how these projects  come together depends                                                               
a great deal on the specific,  unique features of the project and                                                               
the host government.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
One of  the most encouraging features  of all this is  that while                                                               
the projects are complex and  challenging, they've all managed to                                                               
navigate  their   way  through  some  of   the  complexities  and                                                               
challenges that we've been hearing  about over the last couple of                                                               
days in these hearings.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
The other  feature I would add  from years of experience  on many                                                               
LNG  projects  is  that  they   typically  encounter  very  tough                                                               
financial  hurdles with  very thin  margins, at  least initially.                                                               
That's another  feature that we're  seeing here in  Alaska that's                                                               
quite common.  Of course,  the real  value tends  to come  in the                                                               
following  decades, where  they  can become  a huge  contributing                                                               
element to the economy.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Listening  to  the  previous   testimonies  and  other  committee                                                               
meetings so far on this bill,  the intricacies of how it would be                                                               
applied really  show quite clearly,  I think that as  the project                                                               
develops, new  features will  emerge that  need to  be addressed.                                                               
For  example, given  the importance  of in-state  supply and  the                                                               
potential  for  equity,  the  number of  moving  parts  is  quite                                                               
significant, especially at this early stage.                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
As  you think  about the  approach and  the decision-making  that                                                               
goes into this,  one very common characteristic of  all these big                                                               
projects is that  they are iterative in nature as  they reach the                                                               
final stage  of FID [Final  Investment Decision]. As  the various                                                               
features of the project come  together, things start to fall into                                                               
place.                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Glenfarne and AGDC  are also working on the project  in this kind                                                               
of  iterative way.  They're  securing  technical and  contractual                                                               
milestones while working on a complete set of documents.                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
3:46:43 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD continued comments related to slide 6:                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
Coming back  to my comments on  the previous slide, it  is really                                                               
at  these earlier  stages  of the  dialogue  between the  project                                                               
stakeholders  that this  kind  of basic  framework  in which  the                                                               
project  has to  operate needs  to  have a  reasonable degree  of                                                               
definition.  It  isn't  typically  until  the  project  has  been                                                               
through the FEED process that ultimately precise terms evolve.                                                                  
By  the time  the  project  reaches FID,  you'd  expect both  the                                                               
fiscal mechanisms  and the precise tax  rates to be in  place. It                                                               
wouldn't  be unusual  to  see  a number  of  iterations of  these                                                               
details as the FEED process  evolves and the EPC and construction                                                               
contracts and so  forth are put in place. Market  changes have to                                                               
be incorporated. In  fact, even when the project is  past FID and                                                               
into its operational  phase, sometimes these features  have to be                                                               
adjusted or  recalibrated to refine  how they work.  For example,                                                               
this is  quite frequently  done when an  LNG project  is expanded                                                               
and moves from three to four trains and so forth.                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
There's  a little  bit  of a  parallel here  in  terms of  what's                                                               
happening  on  the other  side  of  the  equation. LNG  sale  and                                                               
purchase agreements  for the last  10 years or so  typically come                                                               
with some kind  of reopener or trigger to examine  how things are                                                               
working.  Just to  be  clear, these  reopeners  and triggers  are                                                               
within  very  constrained  mechanisms.  Nevertheless,  there's  a                                                               
recognition  that sometimes  the contract  can't foresee  or take                                                               
into account every change that a project has to go through.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Another way to mitigate the risks  of these early decisions is to                                                               
include what are sometimes  called "conditions precedent." You'll                                                               
see them  referred to  as CPs. This  could include  a requirement                                                               
that certain things  happen or certain outcomes  are achieved, or                                                               
it may  simply be a  time constraint.  These sorts of  things are                                                               
quite  common in  commercial sales  contracts. Ultimately,  these                                                               
are mechanisms that are available  to the legislature as well. At                                                               
the  end of  the day,  the legislature  clearly has  considerable                                                               
discretion in the passing and repealing of laws.                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Interestingly,  you've  heard me  refer  many  times to  the  LNG                                                               
Canada experience. The British  Columbia (BC) government repealed                                                               
and  replaced   LNG-related  laws  twice  and   changed  the  tax                                                               
allowances for the  project before the final  package was agreed.                                                               
That's a good  example of how the tax framework  evolved with the                                                               
project as things became better defined.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
3:49:59 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD moved to slide 7:                                                                                                   
Pros and Cons of Early Fiscal Commitment                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
So much of  the debate around SB  280 has been the  pros and cons                                                               
of agreeing to what is a  fundamental change to tax law in Alaska                                                               
compared with  the benefits of  providing greater clarity  to the                                                               
project.                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Firstly,  as we  look  at what  some  of those  could  be, and  I                                                               
highlighted  this a  few minutes  ago  in the  context of  fiscal                                                               
stability,  progress  on  the property  tax  challenge  is  clear                                                               
evidence of a working dialogue  between the project developer and                                                               
the state. A shared goal  to create a suitable economic framework                                                               
for  the  project.  This  goes  further  than  the  property  tax                                                               
question  and basically  adds momentum  to the  project. It  will                                                               
encourage  buyers,  it  will  encourage   lenders,  and  it  will                                                               
demonstrate  that there's  a  collaborative  process underway  to                                                               
essentially get the project over the line.                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Secondly, it  helps define the  economics and  financing features                                                               
of the project. That helps  to progress pricing negotiations with                                                               
buyers and dialogue  with lenders and finance  providers. In that                                                               
way, it arguably  helps pave the way as the  dialogue with buyers                                                               
moves from a  letter of intent to heads of  agreement and finally                                                               
a sale and purchase agreement.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Thirdly,  and  there's been  evidence  of  this in  the  dialogue                                                               
around the  DOR presentation, it  will help the state  manage its                                                               
budget  and  some of  the  potential  challenges and  longer-term                                                               
implications of making  a change like this. That  was starting to                                                               
come  out in  the dialogue  and,  obviously, with  a decision  on                                                               
moving  to an  AVT, for  example, some  of these  budget-planning                                                               
features can be addressed in more detail.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
The  other  thing,  as  I  mentioned,  is  that  as  things  come                                                               
together, there will  be other features of taxation  that need to                                                               
be  adjusted  or  altered  in some  way.  With  the  [alternative                                                               
volumetric tax] AVT  mechanism that then helps you  move to other                                                               
features like upstream tax or  corporate income tax and so forth,                                                               
and establish a basis for those at the same time.                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
So, in general, it creates a much better planning horizon.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
3:53:06 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD continued comments related to slide 7:                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
If we look  at the other side  of the equation, what  are some of                                                               
the challenges?                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
The  biggest challenge,  of course,  is that  the legislature  is                                                               
being asked  to consider this  change without a  detailed insight                                                               
into  the project,  its economics,  and how  both the  structural                                                               
move  to the  AVT and  the  level of  tax set  alter the  balance                                                               
between government  take and profits  being put into  the private                                                               
sector.  This   speaks  to  the   heart  of   the  constitutional                                                               
obligation  that you  have, and  in an  environment without  that                                                               
full pricing mechanism, it's hard to take a decision.                                                                           
I would add,  though, that obviously for Glenfarne  and AGDC, the                                                               
same applies.  We heard yesterday,  I think, that they've  yet to                                                               
get their  Class 2  cost estimates for  the processing  plant and                                                               
the  liquefaction. So,  to some  extent they  have some  exposure                                                               
too. They'll  be going through  a similar process  of iteratively                                                               
trying to put the building blocks in place for the project.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Related to  this loss  of option value,  any trader  or decision-                                                               
maker will always tell you that  the best time to make a decision                                                               
is right  at the last minute,  when you have as  much information                                                               
at your disposal as possible.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
It's one  of those things  where the decision  to move to  an AVT                                                               
can be  seen as a positive  step toward the broader  project, but                                                               
at the end of the day making a decision early does have risks.                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
3:55:17 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD continued comments related to slide 7:                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
The  other feature  here  is clearly  something  everyone on  the                                                               
committee, and  more widely in  the state, is aware  of: property                                                               
tax is a topic  of great interest to a lot  of people. It affects                                                               
the boroughs and many others quite fundamentally.                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
As  the  debate  continues,  it wouldn't  be  surprising  to  see                                                               
continuing pressure  to revisit this  issue or look at  it again.                                                               
That's  one  of  the  things  I'll  come  back  to  later  in  my                                                               
presentation  where we  talk about  some of  the mechanisms  that                                                               
have been put in place elsewhere.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Interestingly,  on incentive  misalignment, I  spoke on  the last                                                               
slide  about the  federal government  initiatives,  such as  loan                                                               
guarantees  or grants  that  may be  available,  and the  state's                                                               
decision  around   property  tax.  Those  two   elements  are  so                                                               
separated in terms of policy  and decision drivers that it's hard                                                               
to see one affecting the  other. Nevertheless, there are features                                                               
where a decision on property tax could affect something else.                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
The  question  of  revenue   distribution  and  transparency  has                                                               
clearly  come up  a  lot. It  came  up in  some  of the  comments                                                               
received  from  the  boroughs.  The  bill  provides  considerable                                                               
discretion  for  the  state  to  work  on  how  those  funds  are                                                               
distributed,  but again,  I'll come  back to  that a  little more                                                               
later on.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
So that's really  the end of my comments on  this slide, I think.                                                               
In the next part  of the presentation, we move on  to some of the                                                               
more specifics and the numbers.                                                                                                 
3:54:59 PM                                                                                                                    
SENATOR CLAMAN joined the meeting.                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
3:57:28 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD moved to slide 9:                                                                                                   
Host  Government Approach  Depends  on  Economic and  Legislative                                                               
Drivers                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
As you think  about the population of LNG projects,  they kind of                                                               
fall into three  buckets. The nature of the  dialogue between the                                                               
developers and  the host government,  and indeed  communities, is                                                               
quite  different depending  on where  you are  in terms  of these                                                               
constraints.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
In  the simplest  examples, you  have  a host  government with  a                                                               
privately funded LNG project and  no particular policy goals that                                                               
impact  how the  state enters  its dialogue  with the  developer.                                                               
Great examples of this would be Texas and Louisiana.                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
A single  LNG project makes  very little difference to  the state                                                               
economy. It  obviously does impact the  communities involved, but                                                               
typically the  dialogue between the  state and the  project would                                                               
be limited to things like property tax changes and so forth.                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Then  you  move  to  other countries,  or  states  indeed,  where                                                               
there's a  clear constitutional  requirement to  manage resources                                                               
in a  way that is demonstrably  in the interests of  the citizens                                                               
and the ultimate benefit of the state.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Immediately, with  that constitutional duty, comes  a much higher                                                               
hurdle in terms of diligence,  understanding the economics of the                                                               
project,  and  being very  clear  about  the division  of  wealth                                                               
between the host nation or host state and the project.                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
3:59:30 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD continued comments related to slide 9:                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
I think I've spoken about  some of these features previously, but                                                               
they  have a  very different  characteristic from  the much  more                                                               
straightforward discussion in the first example.                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Then we move  on a step further, which is  where there's not only                                                               
some kind  of constitutional  obligation on  the state  to ensure                                                               
that  things  are being  done  appropriately,  but the  state  is                                                               
acquiring potentially equity in the project.                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
With that, you  move to the kind of due  diligence that you would                                                               
see in  a commercial LNG  project where, for example,  a Japanese                                                               
buyer  might be  interested in  taking  equity in  an LNG  export                                                               
project.  There's a  very considerable  process of  due diligence                                                               
that goes  on behind that.  The same is  true with a  lender. Any                                                               
large lender.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
I want  to set the  scene with  that explanation because  it does                                                               
explain why  the dialogue between  the LNG project and  the state                                                               
here  in   Alaska  is   so  different  from   how  it   would  be                                                               
characterized  in Texas  or  Louisiana.  It's the  constitutional                                                               
element, and  it's also the  fundamental impact that  the project                                                               
would have on the state and its economy.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
4:01:09 PM                                                                                                                    
SENATOR MYERS                                                                                                                   
You said the rest of the United  States and Canada are in the top                                                               
category there.  I think in  our other discussions we've  made it                                                               
pretty clear  that most  places outside of  North America  are in                                                               
the bottom category, the bottom box  in your chart. Alaska is the                                                               
one  in the  middle. Is  there anybody  else in  the oil  and gas                                                               
field that functions in that middle place besides Alaska?                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
4:01:41 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD                                                                                                                     
I'd have to refer back to  some of our previous analysis. I could                                                               
remind  myself of  the  detail  and respond  in  writing to  that                                                               
question.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
4:02:02 PM                                                                                                                    
SENATOR WIELECHOWSKI                                                                                                            
In  other  jurisdictions  that   are  similar  to  Alaska,  where                                                               
there's: an  obligation to develop  the resources for  the public                                                               
good, and  closer collaboration and information  sharing with the                                                               
project developers and other stakeholders  is required, how would                                                               
you say  Alaska compares in  this project to  those jurisdictions                                                               
in  terms  of   the  information  that  we're   getting  and  the                                                               
collaboration that we're having?                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
4:02:38 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD                                                                                                                     
One  of the  features that  you typically  see in  some of  these                                                               
other  jurisdictions  is  a  state oil  and  gas  company,  which                                                               
typically has extremely  close eyes into the  energy ministry and                                                               
the functions of government.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
In this  example, AGDC was created  through SB 138 and  so forth,                                                               
and so it  has a role which  is akin to a state-owned  oil or gas                                                               
company, but is also different.                                                                                                 
One of  the differences, I think,  would be in the  way that AGDC                                                               
is set up  and how that plays into this  question of the dialogue                                                               
between developers and the state.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
4:03:47 PM                                                                                                                    
SENATOR WIELECHOWSKI                                                                                                            
But  do  you   think  the  Alaska  Legislature   is  getting  the                                                               
appropriate amount  of information  needed to make  the decisions                                                               
that we need to  make? Do you think we should  just be relying on                                                               
AGDC?  Or do  you think  there  should be  more information  than                                                               
we're getting?                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
4:04:14 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD                                                                                                                     
One of the  features which I've talked about  and we've discussed                                                               
is  this  question of  the  open-book  economic model,  which  is                                                               
typically an Excel-based model of  the project that is accessible                                                               
by all  the stakeholders,  including the  host government,  or at                                                               
least certain individuals within the host government.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Listening  to the  testimony  over  the last  couple  of days,  I                                                               
noticed  in  the  DOR  presentation and  the  comments  that  Mr.                                                               
Stickel  made,  he  referred  a  number  of  times  to  receiving                                                               
guidance from  AGDC on certain  assumptions or how his  model had                                                               
been structured.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
My  sense,  without  having  discussed   any  of  this  with  the                                                               
individuals  concerned,  is that  Mr.  Stickel's  model, the  DOR                                                               
model, is starting to approach what I would describe as an open-                                                                
book economic  model, or  an OBEM.  As that  develops and  as the                                                               
project starts  to benefit from  better definition  around budget                                                               
cost  estimates and  so forth,  I would  expect potentially  that                                                               
economic model, and  the discussions around it, to  form an OBEM-                                                               
like dialogue.                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
In some ways, it's not surprising  that the detail of the project                                                               
isn't being  fully shared with the  legislature, although clearly                                                               
AGDC has access to some or all of that.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
We're obviously on  a journey, and as we go  down that road, more                                                               
and  more information  will  be shared.  But we  are  still at  a                                                               
relatively early stage of the project,  and I think there's a way                                                               
to go before those details can probably be shared.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
4:06:35 PM                                                                                                                    
SENATOR WIELECHOWSKI                                                                                                            
Do you  think the legislature  has the information that  it needs                                                               
in order to  make the decisions that  we need to make,  or do you                                                               
think  we  should wait  until  the  information is  more  closely                                                               
defined, whether  it's FID or FEED?  Do you think we  should wait                                                               
until those numbers are fleshed out  a little bit more, or do you                                                               
think we  should just  go ahead  and make  the decision  and hope                                                               
we're right?                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
4:07:05 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD                                                                                                                     
Obviously,  there  are  a  whole  range  of  policy  implications                                                               
involved  in a  decision by  the legislature.  As I  said at  the                                                               
start of  the presentation, I think  it might be helpful  to look                                                               
at SB 280 in two different ways.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
One is a  structural change in the property  tax mechanism, which                                                               
aligns the  mechanism much better  with what would be  needed for                                                               
the true economic basis of the project.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
The second is the question of the tax rate.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
The first, I  would say, is an imperative for  the legislature to                                                               
resolve because the  lack of a resolution on that  is, I suspect,                                                               
potentially   holding    up   the   dialogue    with   interested                                                               
stakeholders.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
The second, the setting of the  rate, is a more complex question.                                                               
If you look  at other jurisdictions, were you to  settle the rate                                                               
now,  you may  wish  to revisit  it  at the  point  where FID  is                                                               
approaching.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
As  I mentioned  before, there's  an iterative  process going  on                                                               
where quite significant changes  in project economics could occur                                                               
between now  and FID. Ultimately  the legislature will  want some                                                               
discretion in  terms of setting  the tax  rate and so  forth such                                                               
that it's  done appropriately prior  to FID, when the  project is                                                               
actually launched.                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
4:09:04 PM                                                                                                                    
SENATOR WIELECHOWSKI                                                                                                            
That is an extremely helpful statement, at least for me.                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
I want to  restate what you said, because I  think it's important                                                               
and I want  to make sure I  got it right. You're  saying that the                                                               
discussion  about going  to  an AVT,  you  believe, is  critical.                                                               
Correct me if I'm wrong on  that. You're also saying we could set                                                               
a rate,  or maybe set a  framework for a rate.  What advice would                                                               
you give us on that? So, there are two questions there.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
4:09:38 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD                                                                                                                     
I would  agree with the  first restatement. A formulation  of the                                                               
property tax mechanism  toward an AVT would be  an essential step                                                               
in  creating   an  economic  framework   for  the   project  with                                                               
appropriate fiscal controls.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
On the  second point, my  assumption is  that in suggesting  a 6-                                                               
cent-per-Mcf AVT, which I understand  has arisen from the project                                                               
developers,  correct   me  if  I'm  wrong,   there's  probably  a                                                               
reasonable expectation on  their part that, give  or take, that's                                                               
about the number that the project could sustain.                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
I don't  think they  would wish  to see  material changes  in tax                                                               
rates as  the project  progresses. One approach  would be  to set                                                               
the tax at 6 cents and  provide a framework for reexamining it if                                                               
required.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
I think  some thought would need  to go into what  that framework                                                               
would look like because it  wouldn't be in anybody's interest for                                                               
it to be essentially a completely open question.                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
I mentioned  LNG price reopeners. They  typically contain certain                                                               
criteria  that have  to occur  for the  reopener to  be followed.                                                               
Sometimes there's  a time constraint.  Maybe some of  the lessons                                                               
from that type  of framework could be applied to  this to provide                                                               
the state  with some  flexibility as  you go  forward and  as the                                                               
economics of the project become more disclosed.                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
4:11:57 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD moved to slide 10:                                                                                                  
Property Tax Incentives (Louisiana)                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Some of these numbers will  look familiar. These are property tax                                                               
subsidies that I've discussed before.  For the benefit of today's                                                               
discussion,  I thought  it  would  be useful  to  turn them  into                                                               
dollars per Mcf, given that we're  talking about a dollar per Mcf                                                               
charge.                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
As  you look  across  the  table, the  number  in the  right-hand                                                               
column is not  a tax that's imposed. It's a  tax reduction that's                                                               
being offered to the project.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
For example,  Sabine Pass at the  top there, 30 million  tons per                                                               
annum, the property  tax holiday that was offered  is worth about                                                               
33 cents per Mcf, and so forth as you go down.                                                                                  
The other  thing to recognize  here is that the  nominal property                                                               
tax rate in Louisiana is 100  mills, so it's already half of what                                                               
it would be in Alaska.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
It should also  be added that the taxable value  of the LNG plant                                                               
is worked out in a different way.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
At  the  bottom,  I  put  an example  calculation.  It's  not  an                                                               
accurate  reflection  of  Alaska  property tax.  It's  simply  an                                                               
approximation  based on  a $50  billion  initial capital  number,                                                               
depreciated over 20 years and  taxed at 20 mills Obviously, there                                                               
are nuances around  municipal taxes versus state taxes,  but as a                                                               
helpful guide, the numbers are there for illustrative purposes.                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
You can see  that the contribution of the  property tax subsidies                                                               
offered to these projects is  material, and it compares, at least                                                               
in some way, to the discussion here in Alaska.                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
4:14:21 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD moved to slide 11:                                                                                                  
Property Tax Incentives (Texas)                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Slide 11 represents  the same analysis for Texas.  The mill rates                                                               
are a  little different  in Texas.  They are  made up  of county,                                                               
city, and port authority.                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
In  2022,  the potential  for  LNG  projects  to benefit  from  a                                                               
reduction  in property  taxes for  school districts  was removed.                                                               
You  can see  in  the last  two  projects, including  Glenfarne's                                                               
Texas LNG project, that the size  of the property tax subsidy was                                                               
somewhat smaller.                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Again, taxable  value is typically  about 75 percent of  the cost                                                               
of the terminal.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
These examples  provide a guide as  to how property tax  has been                                                               
addressed  in other  projects and  the extent  to which  projects                                                               
have been offered concessions.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
4:15:33 PM                                                                                                                    
SENATOR DUNBAR                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
I'm trying  to interpret  this information  and put  it in  a way                                                               
that I can  understand, and maybe the public can  digest as well.                                                               
The  numbers on  the  far  right, approximate  value  of the  tax                                                               
holiday per  Mcf, that's just  property taxes, as  you indicated.                                                               
There are also  other taxes in these jurisdictions  that maybe we                                                               
don't have, correct?                                                                                                            
MR. FULFORD                                                                                                                     
Yes.                                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR DUNBAR                                                                                                                  
Beyond  that, if  you compare  the two,  other projects  that are                                                               
going forward  with 3 cents, 10  cents, and 3 cents  again, while                                                               
ours  is 78  cents, that  seems very  much out  of step  with the                                                               
other projects. Is that a fair interpretation?                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
4:16:21 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
It  is.  Brief  comment.  There  are  two  reasons.  One  is  the                                                               
relatively high  mill rate, and  the other  is the nature  of the                                                               
tax, which  is very much  focused on the  front end, so  that the                                                               
highest tax occurs at the start of operations.                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Those are the two reasons why the numbers are different.                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
4:16:51 PM                                                                                                                    
SENATOR DUNBAR                                                                                                                  
I understand  the issue of  having the tax  on the front  end. We                                                               
discussed that yesterday. There might  be other ways to shift the                                                               
cost  to the  pipeline, not  just the  pipeline but  the project,                                                               
into   out-years  when   they   are   generating  revenue   while                                                               
simultaneously  protecting the  state's  interests.  Both in  the                                                               
short run  and hopefully over the  long run, we can  recover some                                                               
of that value.                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
My question is, if those two  numbers were reversed and it was 53                                                               
cents for  the first  10 years  and 78  cents for  the out-years,                                                               
would that appreciably change things for the project?                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
4:17:39 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD                                                                                                                     
I  think  it's  worth  considering how  project  investors  would                                                               
typically look  at the  economics for an  LNG project  like this.                                                               
First  of all,  they would  apply a  fairly significant  discount                                                               
rate to revenues and indeed costs as time progresses.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
A burden on the project, taxes  charged to the project that occur                                                               
10  years  from  now,  would  be  very  significantly  discounted                                                               
compared to taxes on the project in year one.                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
That's  one of  the main  reasons  why, in  Texas and  Louisiana,                                                               
we're talking  about a 10-year  tax holiday, because by  the time                                                               
the taxes do become payable, the  value in money of the day terms                                                               
is significantly less than the project.                                                                                         
Equally, debt has  been paid down, cash flows  have increased, so                                                               
the ability of  the project to support these taxes  later in life                                                               
is much higher than in the early days.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
4:19:01 PM                                                                                                                    
SENATOR DUNBAR                                                                                                                  
That all makes sense.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Of course, what we're  being asked to do is more  than just a tax                                                               
holiday.  It's  a tax  holiday  and  then  a permanent  tax  cut.                                                               
Nothing, of  course, can  be permanent  with our  legislature; we                                                               
can't  bind  future  legislatures. But  essentially  that's  what                                                               
we're being asked to do.                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Fulford,  shouldn't  we  also   apply  something  like  that                                                               
discount rate  for the out-years?  You saw the  graphs yesterday,                                                               
or maybe it was two days ago.  We're doing this every day now, so                                                               
it's starting to flow together a little bit.                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
We're being asked  to actually run our revenue  into the negative                                                               
when it  comes to connected  oil taxes in  the short term  on the                                                               
promise of increased  revenues in the out term.  Shouldn't we use                                                               
similar  logic  to  what  these  projects  are  using  and  value                                                               
immediate dollars more than highly discounted future dollars?                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
4:20:00 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD                                                                                                                     
There's a third feature that's  worth discussing too, and that is                                                               
revenue  stability. It's  not just  the amount;  it's how  stable                                                               
that revenue is for the state and for municipalities.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
That has value to the state  and to municipalities. There are, if                                                               
you like,  two or three factors  at stake. One is  the time value                                                               
of  money and  how that  is used  to value  the broader  tax. The                                                               
other  is  how  you  value  a steady  income  that  can  be  more                                                               
dependable for schools, health, and so forth.                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
I didn't  put it on the  slides today, but in  Maryland, the PILT                                                               
that was  agreed to  for the  Cove Point  LNG project  was mainly                                                               
agreed  to   because  the  alternative  was   creating  extremely                                                               
volatile property  tax income  for the  local communities.  So, I                                                               
would add that.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
The other feature, which is  potentially quite a material element                                                               
of the  AVT, is  that it  continues in  perpetuity. From  a time-                                                               
value-of-money  perspective,  $60  million   a  year  in  today's                                                               
dollars, received  20, 30,  or 40  years from  now, has  very low                                                               
value once discounted.                                                                                                          
But for  the state and  the communities involved, a  revenue like                                                               
that,   which  could   continue  for   many  decades,   has  some                                                               
significance compared  to a property tax  that may be based  on a                                                               
pretty well written-down asset.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
4:22:17 PM                                                                                                                    
SENATOR DUNBAR                                                                                                                  
I  think  it  would  hold  its value  if  it  were  adjusted  for                                                               
inflation,  but  I  don't  think   we're  being  asked  to  do  a                                                               
percentage  value. I  think we're  asking for  a flat  cent value                                                               
that's  going to  get progressively  less valuable  as the  years                                                               
progress.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
4:22:34 PM                                                                                                                    
SENATOR KAWASAKI                                                                                                                
This seems  to be sweeping  larger than property taxes.  It talks                                                               
about replacing all state and  municipal property, ad valorem and                                                               
sales and  use taxes  on qualified  property, municipal  taxes on                                                               
gross  or  net income,  license  fees,  excise taxes,  and  other                                                               
charges. Is that typical for most jurisdictions?                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
4:23:05 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD                                                                                                                     
I  must   admit  I've   not  come  across   that  in   any  other                                                               
jurisdictions.  In  a  place like  Tanzania  or  Mozambique,  for                                                               
example,  where you're  really talking  about a  transformational                                                               
impact of  the LNG project, the  dialogue does get down  to quite                                                               
detailed features  of how communities, municipalities,  and local                                                               
governments can be assisted. So, it can get very detailed.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
VAT, value-added tax,  is typically a feature  in many countries,                                                               
though  not quite  the same,  it  typically gets  roped into  the                                                               
discussion.                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
4:24:04 PM                                                                                                                    
SENATOR WIELECHOWSKI                                                                                                            
The  information  in  this  slide   and  the  previous  slide  is                                                               
interesting,  but I  don't know  how to  put this  in context.  I                                                               
don't know that this helps me a  whole lot. It shows me that some                                                               
communities give  a tax holiday of  2 cents, and some  give a tax                                                               
holiday on the previous slide of 58 cents.                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
I see  what the  value of  that is, but  fundamentally we  have a                                                               
constitutional  obligation  to  get  the maximum  value  for  the                                                               
resource. What that means to me  is sort of what Jay Hammond used                                                               
to say: extract every penny you can. That's our job.                                                                            
I  don't know  that this  is  helpful to  me in  getting to  that                                                               
answer. What  would be  helpful to me  is maybe  some information                                                               
from you  or the  department saying, well,  the internal  rate of                                                               
return for the company needs to  be 10 percent. Pick a number. If                                                               
you tax at  6 cents, they have  an 11 percent rate  of return. If                                                               
you tax at 7 cents, they have a 10.9 percent rate of return.                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
That just seems to be more  where this discussion should be. Am I                                                               
wrong in that?                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
4:25:22 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD                                                                                                                     
The process  you described  is very consistent  with the  type of                                                               
dialogue that  we've seen  in many  other jurisdictions.  This is                                                               
where getting down  to the nitty-gritty of the  economics and the                                                               
economic model, with  all these factors, is  ultimately what will                                                               
drive the  equation that  governs the  split between  the private                                                               
investor and the host government.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
4:25:57 PM                                                                                                                    
SENATOR WIELECHOWSKI                                                                                                            
Can you  get us modeling  like that as  we move forward  in these                                                               
next few weeks of debate and discussion?                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
At least  to me, that seems  to be what has  driven our decisions                                                               
on oil taxes  in recent years, well, in the  last 20 years, where                                                               
we've had analysis on what  the implications of various tax rates                                                               
would be on particular oil fields.                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
In this  case, we have one  discrete project. It seems  to me you                                                               
could simply create an analysis that  would show what the cost of                                                               
the  project  is  estimated  to  be, what  the  total  taxes  the                                                               
producer has  to pay are, what  the cost of the  product is, what                                                               
the sale  price of  the product  is, and  what the  gas treatment                                                               
costs are.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
You could  create a formula.  It seems  like it wouldn't  be that                                                               
hard to do.  It would be hard  for me, but probably  not hard for                                                               
you.  Then you  could  plug in  the numbers  and  figure out  the                                                               
standard rate of return. That would be a helpful process.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
4:27:00 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD                                                                                                                     
Yes, I agree, Senator Wielechowski, through the chair.                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
The greatest  uncertainty is  the capital  cost and  where that's                                                               
likely to come out.                                                                                                             
The mechanics  of LNG  economics are  relatively straightforward.                                                               
It  involves a  fairly  complex Excel  model,  but the  mechanics                                                               
themselves are  relatively straightforward. It's  the assumptions                                                               
that will drive the outcome  because, in a very high-capital-cost                                                               
outcome, clearly  the potential  for government revenue  is less,                                                               
and vice versa.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
So, the  modeling per se can  be done. It's the  assumptions that                                                               
are key.                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
While we're  on the topic,  depending on how the  committee wants                                                               
to progress this  type of work, I mentioned that  I think the DOR                                                               
model is  potentially moving toward  what I would classify  as an                                                               
OBEM, an  open-book economic  model, given  the guidance  that we                                                               
have from AGDC.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
That might be the  place to start, and I'd be  happy to work with                                                               
DOR on what  that looks like and compare it  against other models                                                               
that we have.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Anyway, I'll leave that for you to consider.                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
4:28:40 PM                                                                                                                    
SENATOR CLAMAN                                                                                                                  
One  of the  challenges  that I  continue to  have  with all  the                                                               
discussion is the  unknown of whether this  project will actually                                                               
go forward  or not. In the  best possible world, we  come up with                                                               
the perfect tax  rate, the project goes forward  next summer, and                                                               
construction starts.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
Suppose we  come up with  some sort of legislative  solution that                                                               
has many  uncertainties, including whether the  project even goes                                                               
forward.  Is there  some reasonable  time  period to  essentially                                                               
sunset that proposal? So, if it  has not developed and things are                                                               
not going forward, or even if  it has developed, we put ourselves                                                               
in a  position to further  examine whether the project  is really                                                               
working or not working.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
How do we avoid getting into  a situation where we lock ourselves                                                               
into a 20-year  picture and then, 10 years in,  people are saying                                                               
we did not really look at all those  things? If we were to try to                                                               
put in a  sunset, what is a reasonable sunset  approach given the                                                               
uncertainty of whether the project even goes forward?                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
4:29:56 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD                                                                                                                     
Obviously,  I   have  no   insight  into   any  of   the  project                                                               
documentation or contracts, but I  would assume that some or many                                                               
of  those  also  have  some   kind  of  clause  that  relates  to                                                               
timeframes.                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
In an  ideal world,  a sunset  clause around  legislative actions                                                               
would potentially  correspond to  some of  the key  timeframes in                                                               
those contracts, and that might be a dialogue to have with AGDC.                                                                
                                                                                                                                
4:30:45 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD moved to slide 12:                                                                                                  
Worker Impact and Taxation                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
This comes  to the ad valorem,  bed tax, and so  forth. This came                                                               
up at  yesterday's hearing,  and you had  some testimony  from, I                                                               
think, Legal,  in terms of the  interpretation of the bill  as it                                                               
stands.                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
This  slide simply  highlights the  likely  level of  expenditure                                                               
that could  be directed toward  some of those other  taxes, which                                                               
may or may not be included in the bill.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
As  you  can  see  here,  in terms  of  the  workforce,  I  think                                                               
Glenfarne has suggested the peak  workforce would be about 12,000                                                               
people, which  most likely would  be about two-thirds of  the way                                                               
through the project.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
At a $200 per worker  subsistence and accommodation cost, you can                                                               
see that  generates almost $1  billion of expenditure  around the                                                               
middle part of the project.                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
This is simply  an illustration that the topic  of how activities                                                               
related to the project are taxed is a fairly material number.                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
4:32:20 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD moved to slide 13:                                                                                                  
LNG Jurisdictions with a Constitutional Duty                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
We  talked  about  jurisdictions with  a  similar  constitutional                                                               
requirement  to  monetize  resources   for  the  benefit  of  the                                                               
citizens. This is  a list of some of those  jurisdictions. In the                                                               
context of SB [280,] it  is interesting to compare Mozambique and                                                               
Tanzania in the context of  Alaska and British Columbia (BC), two                                                               
adjoining jurisdictions with similar gas economics and so forth.                                                                
                                                                                                                                
What's interesting  is that  in 2017  Tanzania introduced  a bill                                                               
that provided  such a  high degree of  control over  the project,                                                               
using  the constitutional  obligation as  the rationale,  that it                                                               
became  very  difficult  for international  energy  companies  to                                                               
operate  without concern  that  the government  might change  key                                                               
project  features.  In  effect,  what happened  is  that  capital                                                               
flowed  toward   Mozambique,  which   equally  had   a  demanding                                                               
framework  for  the project,  for  taxes  and  so forth.  In  the                                                               
context of Alaska  and BC, a really good textbook  example of how                                                               
capital can  flow between two countries  depending on perceptions                                                               
of risk and control.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
The other example on this slide, which  I will return to in a few                                                               
minutes, is Papua New Guinea.  It introduced a very comprehensive                                                               
program to support communities impacted by the project.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
On the  next slide  are examples  of different  jurisdictions and                                                               
how they have  imposed taxes. As you think  about the 6-cent-per-                                                               
Mcf AVT, the next slide sets out some of those comparisons.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
4:35:05 PM                                                                                                                    
SENATOR MYERS                                                                                                                   
I can't help  but notice that with all these  countries that have                                                               
public-interest  or  ownership  language,  you're,  well,  to  be                                                               
blunt, comparing us to third-world countries, more or less.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
I  have  to wonder  whether,  in  your  analysis, some  of  these                                                               
requirements  for  the  country  to  basically  get  the  maximum                                                               
revenue have acted in such a  way as to help keep those countries                                                               
poor to some extent.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
4:35:47 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD                                                                                                                     
I fully accept  your initial comment that  the comparison between                                                               
Alaska, with  its developed  economy and  standard of  living, is                                                               
very different  from some of these  countries. Nevertheless, from                                                               
an  LNG perspective,  I  think there  are  some very  interesting                                                               
parallels that can be learned.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Of these  countries, Nigeria has  well-known challenges  in terms                                                               
of  governance and  transparency.  Mozambique  is an  interesting                                                               
one. They've been  exporting LNG now for probably two  and a half                                                               
years,  and already  you  can  see the  differences  in terms  of                                                               
stability,  foreign  exchange,  and  so forth.  That's  maybe  an                                                               
example  of where  things have  turned  out well.  But there's  a                                                               
phrase,  I   think  it's  called  the   "winner's  curse,"  where                                                               
countries that encounter significant  wealth and income sometimes                                                               
find that the outcome is not what was planned.                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
4:37:11 PM                                                                                                                    
SENATOR MYERS                                                                                                                   
With these  countries that  you listed,  when their  LNG projects                                                               
were going  forward, were  they also  offering tax  incentives at                                                               
the time those projects were being created?                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
4:37:30 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD                                                                                                                     
In  some  of  these  countries, it  required  almost  a  complete                                                               
reinvention of  tax and  tax mechanisms.  The formulation  of the                                                               
tax  mechanisms  and  tax  rates was  almost  like  a  commercial                                                               
negotiation.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
It  was  a unique  set  of  laws that  was  specific  to the  LNG                                                               
project, and  that's another  thing that  is useful  to remember.                                                               
These  projects are  so big  and so  complex that  sometimes they                                                               
need their  own enabling  legislation that  sets them  apart from                                                               
any other oil or gas activity.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
4:38:29 PM                                                                                                                    
SENATOR WIELECHOWSKI                                                                                                            
When we talk  about stability, a lot of people  like to criticize                                                               
the state we live in by  saying we're unstable. I would point out                                                               
that a  number of  these jurisdictions are  not what  some people                                                               
would say are the most stable in the world.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Papua New  Guinea. The United  States government  urges Americans                                                               
to reconsider travel there.                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Nigeria. Known for having its  pipelines blown up and its workers                                                               
assassinated.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Algeria. The border areas are fraught with terrorism.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Peru. Recently it has been subject to nationwide strikes.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Mozambique. It has Islamic State-linked insurgencies.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
I know  people like to  beat up on Alaska  and say we're  not the                                                               
most  stable   place,  but  looking   at  some  of   these  other                                                               
jurisdictions around the  world, I would say we're  a pretty good                                                               
place to do business.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
That's not  including Venezuela,  where taxes  were raised  to 90                                                               
percent  and assets  were  expropriated;  Russia, where  Vladimir                                                               
Putin  raised  taxes  to  90  percent  and  expropriated  assets;                                                               
Bolivia,  where the  president  expropriated  assets; and  Libya,                                                               
where  Muammar Gaddafi  presided over  a civil  war, expropriated                                                               
assets, and raised taxes to 90 percent.                                                                                         
I would  say Alaska is  not a terrible  place to do  business for                                                               
those who like to beat up on our state.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
4:39:49 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD                                                                                                                     
It's  actually  a  highly relevant  comment  because,  given  the                                                               
events of  the last couple  of months, stability  and reliability                                                               
have moved so far  up the LNG agenda that, as  you look at Alaska                                                               
from a stability and dependability  point of view, it's very much                                                               
at the top of the list.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
As  I mentioned  before,  it's  a short  hop  across the  Pacific                                                               
Ocean, there are no navigation  threats, and so your comments are                                                               
actually very relevant at the moment.                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
4:40:42 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD moved to slide 14:                                                                                                  
Municipal/Community Support - Global Examples                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
What I've done  here is look at specific features  that have been                                                               
directed  toward benefits  for local  communities. I've  tried to                                                               
put them in cents-per-Mcf terms so  you can compare them with the                                                               
6 cents here.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
For example,  you've got  benefits to  the local  municipality in                                                               
Norway  of 7  cents. That's  probably the  closest approximation.                                                               
LNG Canada,  for the benefit of  one of the local  First Nations,                                                               
is  1  cent.  There's  another  1 cent  with  the  wider  British                                                               
Columbia  coastal  fund,  and   another  Canadian  example,  also                                                               
directed toward First Nations, that was 4 cents.                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
With the time remaining, I might  suggest that we move briefly to                                                               
slide 15, which does a little more  of a deep dive into Papua New                                                               
Guinea.                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
4:41:51 PM                                                                                                                    
MR. FULFORD moved to slide 15:                                                                                                  
Papua New Guinea - Features to Assist Impacted Communities                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
It's an interesting example because a  lot of time and effort was                                                               
put into addressing  concerns about how the  original LNG project                                                               
would impact  some of the  local communities, many of  which were                                                               
relatively isolated and not accustomed to industrial activity.                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
The way  they did it was  in two halves. One  was financial, with                                                               
what was essentially  a royalty on the gas based  on its value at                                                               
the  wellhead. That  was split  between direct  benefits to  what                                                               
they  class  as  clans  or  what might  be  considered  a  tribe,                                                               
community   investments   and   infrastructure,  and   a   future                                                               
generations fund.                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
There was  also a development  levy, which is less  well defined,                                                               
but is supplied for local infrastructure development.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
With  that  came  an  opportunity  to invest  in  equity  on  the                                                               
project. In  that case,  there was an  overall state  interest of                                                               
19.4 percent,  of which 4.27  percent, under what was  called the                                                               
"kroton  equity  option,"  was   an  amalgamation  of  the  local                                                               
communities impacted.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
They had  equity in the project.  It was not a  carried interest,                                                               
as it  sometimes is. They  had to  fund the original  equity, but                                                               
they were offered assistance to do so by the state government.                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Coming back to some of the  remarks made earlier. I think this is                                                               
a good example  of how, even with the best  thought and planning,                                                               
putting in place a fair  and equitable mechanism to recognize the                                                               
disruption to local communities is a difficult thing to do.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Since  it  was put  in  place,  there has  been  quite  a lot  of                                                               
dialogue  and  indeed litigation  around  it.  But this  was  the                                                               
mechanism they chose.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
4:44:40 PM                                                                                                                    
CHAIR GIESSEL opened public testimony [on SB 280 and SB 275.]                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
4:45:11 PM                                                                                                                    
BRIAN  KASSOF, Lead  Regulatory Analyst,  Alaska Public  Interest                                                               
Research Group (AKPIRG), Fairbanks,  Alaska, testified in support                                                               
of SB 275 with the following remarks:                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
My  name is  Brian  Kassoff.  I'm calling  in  from Fairbanks  on                                                               
behalf of the Alaska Public  Interest Research Group, a statewide                                                               
nonpartisan  501(c)(3)  nonprofit  with  more than  50  years  of                                                               
history advocating for the public interest in Alaska.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
AKPIRG   strongly   supports    the   transparency   and   fiscal                                                               
accountability  provisions   of  SB   275  and   appreciates  the                                                               
committee's efforts to address these important questions.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Glenfarne  has  refused  to   share  critical  information  about                                                               
project governance and economics  with legislators. This would be                                                               
concerning under  any circumstance, but is  particularly alarming                                                               
given the following:                                                                                                            
Glenfarne has  no proven  track record,  having never  brought an                                                               
LNG export project to final investment decision.                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Glenfarne's  assertions  that  the  project might  not  go  ahead                                                               
without  substantial   tax  breaks  raise  questions   about  its                                                               
competitiveness.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Glenfarne proposes  to begin  construction on  phase one,  an in-                                                               
state  natural  gas  pipeline,  before  it  completes  the  final                                                               
engineering studies  for phase two,  the gas treatment  plant and                                                               
LNG export  facility, without any  guarantee of the  viability of                                                               
phase two. There  is a very real possibility  that Alaskans could                                                               
be left responsible for the full cost of a pipeline.                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
Glenfarne  has promised  that  gas from  the  phase one  pipeline                                                               
would be  competitive with imported  LNG. I think  cost estimates                                                               
for imported LNG are between $12  and $16, but Glenfarne will not                                                               
share  the  information necessary  to  verify  that claim.  Their                                                               
calculations  assume a  volume of  gas  that is  more than  twice                                                               
current in-state  use. A 2023  estimate by the  Berkeley Research                                                               
Group, which was hired by  Enstar and other utilities to consider                                                               
new gas  supplies, estimated a much  higher price for gas  from a                                                               
privately  owned in-state  pipeline,  at about  $28 per  thousand                                                               
cubic feet.                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
All of these reasons, and others, make transparency essential.                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
We support  other aspects of the  bill as well. I  included those                                                               
in my written comments, and I will close there.                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
4:47:54 PM                                                                                                                    
MIKE   CHENAULT,  Board   Member,   Alaska  Gasline   Development                                                               
Corporation (AGDC),  Nikiski, Alaska, testified in  support of SB
275 with the following remarks:                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Thank you, Madam  Chair and committee members. I have  a lot more                                                               
to say than what I'm allowed in  two minutes, but I'll try to get                                                               
through it.                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
When creating AGDC, the legislature wanted to take decision-                                                                    
making out of the political  arena of the legislature and provide                                                               
it to a  board whose main focus is to  assess commercial, fiscal,                                                               
and legal risk impacts.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
The  sponsor stated  that the  project has  changed since  Senate                                                               
Bill  138,  [ch.   14,  SLA  14].  The   ExxonMobil  project  was                                                               
originally envisioned  as an  equity participation  project where                                                               
all  the  partners  would  be   responsible  for  bringing  their                                                               
percentage of equity  to final investment decision  (FID) to move                                                               
the project forward.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
At $40  billion, that would have  meant the state would  have had                                                               
to fund $10  billion and accept the risk of  schedule and project                                                               
cost overruns.                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
We  heard  from  Wood  Mackenzie   that  the  Exxon  project  was                                                               
uneconomical due to  the high rate of return  the producers would                                                               
require to invest their equity.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Wood Mackenzie  recommended that the  project move to  a project-                                                               
finance   model  akin   to  LNG   export   projects  then   under                                                               
construction on the U.S. Gulf Coast.                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
The project-finance model,  where the project is  financed with a                                                               
combination of  debt and equity,  and the debt is  underpinned by                                                               
off-take agreements.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
The  project sponsors  are  willing  to accept  a  lower rate  of                                                               
return, perhaps 10  to 12 percent, compared  to international oil                                                               
companies, who want 18 to 22  percent. With lower equity and debt                                                               
costs, the project is more economical.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
In 2024, Glenfarne  stepped in as a potential  lead developer and                                                               
began  due diligence  in earnest,  coming to  Alaska and  meeting                                                               
with  various  companies,  government officials,  utilities,  and                                                               
several legislators.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
4:50:31 PM                                                                                                                    
SEAN MCDERMOTT,  Energy Policy Analyst, Fairbanks  Climate Action                                                               
Coalition, Homer,  Alaska, testified  in support  of SB  275 with                                                               
the following remarks:                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Thank  you for  the  opportunity  to comment  today  and for  the                                                               
committee's diligence on this issue.                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
I'm calling to  express our support for the  measures outlined in                                                               
Senate Bill  275. Without detailed  cost estimates from  AGDC and                                                               
Glenfarne, there  is no way  for legislators in Alaskans  to know                                                               
the  true  cost  and  impact   this  project  will  have  on  our                                                               
communities.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
In response  to questions  from this committee  on March  18, Mr.                                                               
Fulford  acknowledged   that,  without  the  type   of  financial                                                               
guardrails  proposed in  this  legislation,  existing Alaska  law                                                               
does not adequately protect Alaska's interests in this project.                                                                 
This  project  is   also  operating  on  a   lot  of  problematic                                                               
assumptions.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
The claim for  the phased approach to the project  was to provide                                                               
affordable gas  to Alaska, but  Mr. Kissinger with AGDC  has told                                                               
House Resources  that the  phase one  pipeline would  not provide                                                               
lower-cost gas to Alaskans.                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
The  Wood  Mackenzie Alaska  LNG  report,  that is  often  cited,                                                               
assumes  that  90  percent  of Fairbanks  will  be  connected  to                                                               
natural gas within just  a few years, but there is  no plan for a                                                               
spur line to Fairbanks.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
As Fairbanks North  Star Borough Mayor Hopkins  pointed out, even                                                               
with  current  property tax  rates,  Fairbanks  does not  receive                                                               
revenue or cash from this project.                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
AGDC continues  to say the project  will cost $44 billion  to $46                                                               
billion.  This committee  heard  Monday  that project  consultant                                                               
Mark Begich  recently suggested  the cost  could be  $57 billion.                                                               
Independent analyses suggest  that number is likely  to be upward                                                               
of $70 billion.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Without transparency concerning overall  cost estimates, the true                                                               
impacts   of  the   governor's  and   Glenfarne's  property   tax                                                               
legislation are also a mystery.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
How  can they  possibly  ask Alaskans  to  subsidize the  project                                                               
through property tax cuts worth  billions before the true cost of                                                               
those cuts is known?                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
Another  critical financial  piece  of this  conversation that  I                                                               
feel has  not been addressed  is the  need for a  clearly defined                                                               
and funded  plan for dismantling, removal,  and restoration, like                                                               
TAPS,  which could  otherwise cost  Alaskans  billions in  public                                                               
funds.                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Thank you  for your time  and consideration. I'm happy  to answer                                                               
any questions.                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
4:52:59 PM                                                                                                                    
MADDIE HALLORAN, representing  self, Anchorage, Alaska, testified                                                               
in support of SB 275 with the following remarks:                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
I'm a born-and-raised Alaskan.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
I want  to start by  thanking both  you for bringing  this really                                                               
important  issue  to  light  with this  bill,  and  also  Senator                                                               
Dunbar, who is a great  representative of my neighborhood. Thanks                                                               
to both of you.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
I'm supportive of SB 275  because I'm really concerned about this                                                               
project for a lot of reasons,  but the potential impact of moving                                                               
forward on  such a costly  project when  it appears, from  all of                                                               
the  great  questions  you  all  were  just  asking  during  that                                                               
presentation, legislators  close to the project  do not currently                                                               
have a whole picture of what it will cost the state.                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
As  Sean  just  said,  Glenfarne  has  not  provided  an  updated                                                               
construction estimate in years, and  I'm worried that the current                                                               
gas crisis  in the Railbelt  and the current state  fiscal crisis                                                               
are being  leveraged to push  this project forward when  it won't                                                               
actually come online in time to help solve those issues.                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
A friend  told me  yesterday that her  heating bill  in Fairbanks                                                               
for an apartment  complex is normally $1,200 for  the first three                                                               
months of the  year, and this year it was  $4,000 because of high                                                               
prices and an unusually deep cold in Fairbanks this year.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
I've  heard  from lots  of  neighbors  across Alaska.  We're  all                                                               
facing really big utility bills that  are only going to grow with                                                               
the current world oil crisis and  local gas crisis, and we've all                                                               
watched there be an insufficient  budget to meet state needs year                                                               
after year.                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
We're  basically losing  twice  by hinging  our  future on  these                                                               
extraction projects,  and this project  in particular  feels like                                                               
we're doubling down  on a strategy that is not  really serving us                                                               
anymore as a state.                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
I'd love to see the  legislature consider an analysis showing how                                                               
much money we  could save Alaskans by mobilizing  just a fraction                                                               
of the cost  of this proposal into renewable  energy projects and                                                               
training Alaskans to maintain new energy infrastructure.                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
I believe public  dollars should be used to serve  the public and                                                               
not   subsidize  projects   that   will   on  make   out-of-state                                                               
millionaires richer.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
4:55:31 PM                                                                                                                    
DOUG  WOODBY, representing  self,  Juneau,  Alaska, testified  in                                                               
support of [SB 275] with the following remarks:                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Mostly, I  want to  thank you, Senator  Giessel, your  staff, and                                                               
others on  the committee  who have  done the  hard work  to bring                                                               
this bill forward to increase transparency for the LNG project.                                                                 
The  developer of  the project,  8  Star Alaska,  suffers from  a                                                               
transparency  gap,  especially  regarding project  timelines  and                                                               
project costs.                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Just  yesterday morning  in this  room, you  heard that  the FEED                                                               
studies for  the gas treatment  plant and liquefaction  plant may                                                               
not get  started until  sometime midyear  this year.  They're not                                                               
expected to  be completed for  a year,  which means the  FID, the                                                               
final investment decision, won't  happen until sometime next year                                                               
at the earliest.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
But we  keep seeing glowing  press releases from  Glenfarne, such                                                               
as  the one  that came  out  on April  2 saying  that Alaska  LNG                                                               
offtake  volumes will  be "determined  when customer  allocations                                                               
are finalized in the coming weeks."                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Our governor  and others  keep saying we're  closer than  ever to                                                               
having a gasline.                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
It could  make a person  wonder whether  we're being taken  for a                                                               
ride.                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
There's  a   consulting  industry  built  around   this  pipeline                                                               
planning process that must be  profiting pretty well, and we have                                                               
Alaskan workers  and families looking  forward to the  promise of                                                               
good  jobs,  an  economic  boom, and  supposedly  cheaper  energy                                                               
costs.                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
But does it pencil out? It's hard to know.                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Yes, we need  greater transparency, and I'm  really thankful that                                                               
you brought this bill forward.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
That's all I have.                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
4:57:41 PM                                                                                                                    
BEN BOETTGER, Energy Policy  Analyst, Cook Inletkeeper, Soldotna,                                                               
Alaska,  testified  in  support  of SB  275  with  the  following                                                               
remarks as paraphrased:                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
I  thank  the committee  for  bringing  forward this  much-needed                                                               
bill. The  project is changing  fast. It  is far from  clear that                                                               
every  possible  scenario  would  necessarily  bring  benefit  to                                                               
Alaskans in  the form of lower  energy costs or revenue.  I think                                                               
it is not even clear that  the majority of scenarios, or the most                                                               
likely scenarios, would bring benefits to Alaskans.                                                                             
As our  representatives with a constitutional  mandate to realize                                                               
the maximum value  of Alaska's resources, you  have an obligation                                                               
to be  proactive in watching  these developments and  getting all                                                               
the information needed for sound decision-making.                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
SB  275 is  a strong  step and  a far  smarter approach  than the                                                               
blind  trust  and  wishful  thinking  that  have  so  far  guided                                                               
Alaska's approach to this gasline project.                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
All  week,  you  have  been  looking at  a  spread  of  potential                                                               
outcomes  for the  project involving  variable capital  costs and                                                               
uncertain gas prices.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Another  variable  in the  background  is  the LNG  prices  Asian                                                               
utilities' will decide to accept.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
I hope  that seeing  these possible scenarios  makes it  clear to                                                               
you what Alaska LNG actually is.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
It is gambling  on geopolitical scenarios involving  price LNG in                                                               
Asia. It is  gambling on the capacity of partners  we do not know                                                               
much about.  We have yet to  actually bring an LNG  project final                                                               
investment decision.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
The legislature has  made bad bets in the past.  If you are going                                                               
to continue rolling  dice for Alaska's energy  future, you should                                                               
at  least understand  the [indiscernible]  area and  who you  are                                                               
playing with.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
I hope you will pass this bill.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Thank you.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
4:59:27 PM                                                                                                                    
CHAIR GIESSEL closed public testimony [on SB 280 and SB 275].                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
4:59:47 PM                                                                                                                    
[SB 280 and SB 275 were held in committee.]                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
5:00:04 PM                                                                                                                    
There being  no further  business to  come before  the committee,                                                               
Chair Giessel  adjourned the Senate Resources  Standing Committee                                                               
meeting at 5:00 p.m.                                                                                                            

Document Name Date/Time Subjects
SB280 GaffneyCline Presentation to SRES 4.14.26.pdf SRES 4/14/2026 9:00:00 AM
SRES 4/15/2026 3:30:00 PM
SRES 4/16/2026 9:00:00 AM
SB 280
SB 275 Public Letters 4.15.26.pdf SRES 4/15/2026 3:30:00 PM
SB 275